MoMo'er

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Six years in the industry, starting with 30k yuan, making 7 million in trades
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PrincessQingyue:
Steadfast HODL💎
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BTC surged with volume from 62800 in the morning, hitting a high of 63938. Short-term bullish momentum is strong, with Bollinger Bands opening upward; the short-term rally is too steep with high deviation, requiring pullback repair. Intraday support at 63500-63600.
Overall, it remains oscillating in the 62000-64690 range. Price rebounded to the upper half of the range. MACD green bars turned red, bullish momentum continues to recover. Bollinger middle band at 62750 is strong swing support.
Intraday bias is for a volatile upward move. Support at 63400-63500, resistance at 64200-64600. Focus on
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7.10 Friday BTC Morning Thoughts
As of July 10, Bitcoin is currently trading in the range of 62,900–63,370, showing a bottom-fishing rebound over the past 24 hours. The intraday range is 61,636–63,448, with a daily gain of about 1.8%. After yesterday's pullback, a technical repair rally has emerged, and the coin's anti-decline attribute continues to lead the mainstream market.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has reclaimed the short-term moving averages on the daily chart. On the 4-hour chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross at the lower levels, and the RSI has recovered to around the
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MoMo'er:
Trading suggestion: buy low at 639-643, target 630; if it breaks, then look at 620$BTC $ETH $LTC
The market continues weak consolidation, oscillating repeatedly within the 62600-61300 range, with neither bulls nor bears breaking the deadlock further.
Rebounds have consistently failed to stabilize effectively, the short-term bearish structure remains unchanged. This consolidation is just a buildup in the downward continuation pattern. Short positions can be held patiently, with the next target focusing on the key defense line at 61290.
$BTC $ETH $IOST
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MoMo'er:
The current market on the whole is still continuing weak consolidation, oscillating repeatedly around the 62600–61300 range, and neither side—bulls nor bears—has been able to break the deadlock further.
The rebound has consistently failed to establish an effective base; the short-term top/peak structure has not been changed. This current consolidation is only an accumulation phase during a downtrend continuation. Traders may hold short positions patiently, and for the next step, the main focus is to watch the key defense line at 61290.
$BTC $ETH $IOST
Yesterday’s ETH short idea we shared with everyone has truly delivered 100 points of room. Just like with BTC (the “big pie”), anyone who followed along with the layout with xueyuan can directly see profits in their account—this also once again proves the importance of anticipating the trend early and trading in line with it.
In the evening, the situation in the Middle East heated up again, becoming the core bearish catalyst. Regional conflicts pushed up international oil prices, intensifying global inflation concerns and directly delaying expectations for the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut inter
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$ETH Er Bing (Two Bings) trend, market analysis, and strategy:
By comparing last night’s market performance, the past few days have all followed an upward trend. After the US stock market opened each of the past two nights, there was a period of pullback. After the pullback, the wick was formed and it quickly stabilized again. In terms of the bigger picture, the outlook is still bullish. On the hourly chart, the 1741.2 range has already formed the strongest short-term support, so the rebound is only a matter of time. Therefore, Brother Hu chose a relatively steady and safe position to guide fo
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July 8 BTC/ETH Market Analysis
From a technical structure perspective, the daily chart turned bearish after consecutive bullish candles, and the original downward trend line has been severely damaged. However, with a winding and oscillating upward movement, the pullback space is relatively large, but the overall impact is not significant. In the short term, after a dip and rebound, the moving average indicators have started to spread upward, driving bullish momentum upward. After the early morning high and pullback, it is still appropriate to follow the pullback and continue to position. This
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MoMo'er:
July 8 BTC/ETH Market Analysis

From a technical structure perspective, after consecutive positive daily candles, the chart turned bearish and entered a corrective phase. The original downward trend line has basically been seriously broken. However, amid a zigzag-style oscillating upward movement, the retracement space is relatively larger, though the overall impact is not too significant. On the smaller timeframes, after probing the lows and rebounding, the moving average indicators have all started dispersing upward, helping bullish momentum to release upward. After the spike high at dawn and then pull back, it still makes sense to catch the retracement and continue following up. In terms of rhythm, the main thing is to watch how strong the continuation is in the afternoon. In the early morning, go long first. If the bulls continue in the afternoon, it is highly likely to remain long; if they do not continue, then take advantage of the afternoon retracement to follow up.

Trading Suggestions:
BTC near 62500—62000, go long; target around 64000-64900 nearby

ETH near 1735—1710, go long; target around 1800-1835 nearby
$BTC $ETH
$BTC Bitcoin today, pay attention to the 62400 level. As long as this level is not broken, the trend remains bullish. The first resistance above is the previous high at 64700. If it fails to break through, there will be a pullback. If it breaks through, you can short near the three levels of 65800, 67000, and 69400.
If the 62400 level is broken today, first look at the 61300 level. As long as this level is not broken, a rebound will continue. If 61300 is broken, the daily timeframe will begin to weaken. To the downside, you can go long near the three levels of 60000, 58200, and 56800.
$ETH
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$BTC BTC current price is 63814. It surged to 64691 in the early hours, touched the upper Bollinger band at 64441, and then came under pressure to fall back. It is currently consolidating and stabilizing in a high-range zone. The 15-minute price pullback has already dropped below the middle Bollinger band. Short-term bullish momentum is clearly weakening, and trading volume continues to shrink compared with the rally phase. The first key defense level below is the lower Bollinger band at 63772. This level is the dividing line for the strength of this rebound. The resistance zone above is 64441
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MoMo'er:
$BTC BTC current price is 63814. In the early morning it surged to 64691, touched the Bollinger upper band at 64441, and then came under pressure and pulled back. It is currently consolidating and repairing in the high-range interval. The 15-minute price pullback has already dropped below the Bollinger middle band. The upside momentum for the short-term bulls has clearly weakened, and trading volume has continued to contract compared with the rally phase. The first key defense level below is the Bollinger lower band at 63772. This level is the split point for the strength of this round of rebound. The resistance range above is 64441-64691. There is heavy sell pressure at the prior highs, and without a volume expansion, it will be difficult to break through again.

If it can hold the support of 63772 lower band and stabilize, after consolidation it can once again test the prior high at 64441, and the rebound trend will continue. Conversely, if it effectively breaks below the 63772 support, this round of interim rebound will be over, and the market will enter a pullback correction phase, with support seen around the 63000 area.

BTC long near 63500-63200, target 64500

ETH long near 1770-1750, target 1850
US stocks hit new highs, BTC underperforms but doesn't mean fundamentals are weakening: Capital is rotating tracks, not leaving crypto
Recently, the US stock market has been hitting new highs, but Bitcoin's performance this year has been relatively weak, appearing to be a "decoupled rally."
However, some institutions interpret this as not a deterioration of the crypto industry, but a reallocation of capital.
Hashdex believes that current market capital is flowing more toward AI infrastructure, IPOs, and interest rate trading themes, rather than digital assets themselves. But looking at on-chai
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MoMo'er:
Hurry and get on board! 🚗
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In the past two weeks, $BTC went from a panic sell-off to an oversold bounce, so many people started discussing the return of the bull market.
But if you stretch the cycle a bit longer, you’ll find that the things that truly change the trend have hardly changed.
ETF funds have not continuously flowed back, incremental capital has not re-entered, the profit-making effect of altcoins has not recovered, and the market has just gone from extreme pessimism to being not so pessimistic.
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MoMo'er:
Over the past half month, $BTC has gone from panic selling to an oversold bounce, so many people have started discussing the return of a bull market.

But if you extend the cycle a bit further, you’ll find that almost nothing that truly changes the trend has changed.

ETF funds have not continued to flow back, incremental capital has not returned to the market, and the profit-making effect in altcoins has not recovered—the market has only shifted from extremely pessimistic to somewhat less pessimistic.
7.4 Midday Thoughts
62957 recent high, meanwhile the Bollinger Bands are opening upward as a whole, price is running along the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, which is a strong bull channel market
First entry: 62000-62200 (located at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, obvious signs of pullback, light position setup)
Second entry: 61500-61600 (short selling pressure exhausted, strong bull defense)
Stop loss defense: 61000 (break below the short-term bull watershed, bull idea invalidates, exit directly)
First take profit: 62800-63000 (take profit half position, short-term surge prone to
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MoMo'er:
7.4 Midday Bitcoin Thoughts
62957 recent high, with the Bollinger Bands opening upward overall, and price operating in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a strong bullish channel market.
First entry: 62000-62200 (located at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, obvious pullback signs, light position entry)
Second entry: 61500-61600 (short-selling pressure exhausted, strong bullish defense)
Stop-loss: 61000 (breaks below the short-term bullish watershed, bullish idea invalid, exit directly)
First take-profit: 62800-63000 (take half profit, short-term surge prone to volatility, secure half profit first)
Second take-profit: 63500-64000 (trend extension after breaking the previous high, take full profit) $BTC
7.03 Zhuoyan Morning Market Analysis
Last night, supported by macro sentiment, the market showed strong strength and rallied upward. BTC’s highest point reached around 62199, and ETH surged to around 1724. Overall data is consistent with the evening analysis. This morning, the market is stalling after rising to high levels and has entered a sideways repair/consolidation phase.
The subsequent digestion of the Non-Farm Payroll data is nearing its end. In the short term, it is important to watch for potential disruptions from signals related to Fed policy and changes in geopolitical conditions, a
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MoMo'er:
7.03 Zhuoyan Morning Market Analysis

Last night, boosted by macro sentiment, the market rallied strongly. BTC hit a high near 62,199, and ETH surged to around 1,724, with overall data in line with the evening analysis. In the early morning, the market stalled at high levels and entered a sideways consolidation phase.

The subsequent digestion of the non-farm payroll data is nearly complete. In the short term, attention should be paid to potential disturbances from Fed policy signals and changes in geopolitical situations, guarding against capital profit-taking after the positive news is priced in.

Currently, the daily level has already closed multiple consecutive bullish candles, gradually approaching the middle Bollinger Band. On the 4H level, bullish volume has broken through the upper band, but the KDJ indicator has entered the severely overbought zone. On the 1H level, it has fallen below the upper Bollinger Band, and the MACD red柱 momentum has shrunk. The short-term upward momentum has weakened somewhat, and there is an expectation of a technical pullback.

【Key Levels】
BTC: Upper resistance focus on 62,000-62,400 (strong break above 63,200); lower support focus on 61,300-60,800, strong support at 60,200-59,800.
ETH: Upper resistance focus on 1,720-1,750; lower support focus on 1,680-1,660, strong support at 1,640-1,620.
$BTC 7.2 Midday Trading Insights
The market surged strongly in early trading today, rebounding to a key demand zone from the previous period, with prices reaching 61102 during the session, consistent with our earlier forecast. This resistance zone has seen repeated tug-of-war between bulls and bears; multiple attempts failed to hold steady above it, with bulls lacking sustained incremental capital and showing clear signs of insufficient upward momentum. The market harbors the risk of a spike and pullback, so chasing long positions blindly is not recommended. The margin for error in chasing hig
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$ETH Erbing morning analysis
After the price surged to the phase high point and then broke out of a sluggish consolidation, it formed a stalled inverted hammer pattern, creating a bull-trap top structure. The short-term moving averages that originally supported the price have now turned into a key battleground between long and short. A large amount of trapped positions has built up in the upper range, and ongoing selling pressure continues to suppress upward movement.
Oscillators weakened after moving into high levels, forming a death cross. The strength of dip-buying from bulls continues to
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MoMo'er:
$ETH ETH Morning Analysis

After the price surged to the stage high and then broke into a stalled consolidation, it formed a bearish inverted hammer, creating a bull-trap top structure. The short-term moving averages that originally provided support have now turned into a key battleground between bulls and bears. Above, the range has accumulated a large number of trapped positions, and sustained sell pressure continues to suppress the upward move.

The oscillators weakened at high levels and formed a death cross; the strength of bullish buy orders continues to decline. The rally surged on increased volume, and the pullback also saw increased volume. This clearly shows that the main players are distributing in batches at high levels. For this rebound, bullish momentum has already been exhausted by volume-price divergence; there is not enough incremental capital coming in from outside. The rebound is only a brief repair as trapped positions try to escape.

The key round-number support is the short-term line of defense. Once it breaks, it will trigger a concentrated long exit, causing longs to close positions in large amounts. Below that, there are swing-start support levels waiting to be tested. With volume, price, and indicators all topping in resonance, the market has shifted to a bear-led rhythm. Within the rebound pressure zone, following the trend to short is the main play—be mindful of the downside risk after support breaks.

Trading idea: Short around 1620-1640, target 1570-1520
Ethereum bulls are putting on a "last stand"?
After the 1510 low, three probes of the bottom — is it a solid floor or a paper-thin defense?
Since the 1839 avalanche, the bearish trend has never truly reversed, but the recent price action shows subtle changes.
Price has repeatedly retested the 1550-1560 zone and quickly rebounded, with each decline narrowing in range — a typical sign of resistant bottoming.
However, trading volume has been shrinking to near-monthly lows, indicating extreme hesitation and no new money entering the market. Such low-volume rallies often do not last.
In terms of tr
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6.30 Morning Analysis and Trading Suggestions
Analysis and Prediction:
BTC continued the recovery after the oversold drop overnight, retracing to around 59067 before quickly surging to 60666. However, during the rebound, it failed to hold above 60500, then oscillated and fell back. It is currently trading near 59800, indicating short-term bullish support remains, but selling pressure above is still heavy. From the 30-minute structure, price has returned to the previous consolidation range, bearish momentum has weakened compared to previous days, and the market has entered a stage of consolidat
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MoMo'er:
6.30 Morning Thought Process Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Thought Process Analysis and Prediction:
BTC continued the recovery after being deeply oversold in the early morning. After briefly revisiting the 59067 area at the lows, it quickly surged to around the 60666 level, but throughout the rebound it still failed to effectively stay above 60500. It then oscillated and pulled back again, and is currently trading around 59800. This suggests that short-term bullish support is still present, but sell pressure from above remains relatively heavy. From the 30-minute structure, the price has returned to the previous consolidation range. Bearish momentum has weakened compared with the past few days, and the market has entered a bottoming-and-consolidation phase. ETH followed a similar pattern, quickly rebounding from around 1560 to around 1637, and then continued to pull back and consolidate. It is currently oscillating around 1595, and the overall pace is still tracking BTC. On the news front, the market continues to focus on this week’s US economic data, changes in Fed rate-cut expectations, and spot ETF fund flows. There are no obvious signs of sustained outflows from institutional funds at present, and market panic has eased compared with earlier periods. From a technical perspective, the support around 59000 for BTC remains clearly significant. As long as this area is not effectively broken to the downside, there is still hope that BTC can continue its upward repair. For ETH, 1550
Morning strategy smoothly executed, bagging 1400u first!
Long at 59000, exit long near 59800, if you don't want to hold the position, you can exit now.
I'm already laying out the next round, are you still waiting and watching? $BTC
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MoMo'er:
Morning strategy executed smoothly—first pocket 1400u, then talk!
Around 59000, take profit near 59800—if you don’t want to hold it, you can exit now.
I’ve already laid out the next round—are you still watching? $BTC
$BTC Trendline Breakout Entry Method: Core Logic for Precisely Capturing Major Trends
Want to achieve stable profits through trend trading? Master this "Trendline Breakout Entry" strategy, and you can precisely lock in entry timing in just three steps:
Identifying Valid Breakouts: When the price breaks above or below the trendline, avoid blindly chasing the trade. Patiently wait for a retest, and combine it with key support/resistance levels for confirmation, thereby verifying the validity of the trend reversal.
Filtering False Breakouts (Core Rule): Remember the three filtering conditions: Fi
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$BTC Recently, the risk appetite in US stocks has continued to weaken. Combined with the passive selling pressure from derivatives option deliveries, capital has been clearly fleeing to safety. Yesterday, a large number of long positions across the market were liquidated intensively, and short-term bearish momentum was concentratedly released, directly breaking through the short-term support zone near 60k.
As a recognized emotional watershed in the market, a large amount of chips have accumulated at the 60k level. Once effectively broken, it will open up deeper downward space. However, at the
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MoMo'er:
$BTC U.S. equities risk appetite has continued to weaken recently, combined with passive sell pressure from derivative options settlement, leading to clear capital flight to safety. A large number of long positions across the market were liquidated in bulk yesterday, and short-term bearish momentum was released intensively, directly breaking through the support range near 60k.

As a widely recognized emotional pivot point in the market, a large amount of chips have accumulated here. Once it breaks down effectively, it will open up deeper downside space. However, on-chain whales have continued to accumulate in the 58,000–60k range, indicating there is buying support below, so the market will not experience a unilateral rapid decline in the short term, but will mainly oscillate and grind out a bottom.

On the daily timeframe, moving averages are bearishly aligned, with rebound highs continuously lowering, indicating the larger-cycle adjustment trend is not over. On the short-term 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes, the market has entered oversold territory, with bearish momentum gradually weakening, suggesting a need for technical repair.

In summary, the main approach is to follow the trend and not rush to buy the bottom.

For holding short positions: reduce positions near 60k in batches. For remaining positions, move stops up to defend against a deep rebound that could eat into profits. If support fails with a breakout below 59,500 with volume, you can hold and look for lower ranges.
如何反驳?
以太坊有智能合约,比特币无智能合约。此一胜也。
以太坊总量不定,可发利息到宇宙尽头。比特币总量固定,挖完则无新币。此二胜也。
中本聪隐遁江湖,不知所终;Vitalik亲临大会,四方传道。此三胜也。
以太坊开发者数万,基金会富甲一方;比特币开发者寥寥,尚争区块大小。此四胜也。
DeFi、NFT、稳定币皆出于以太坊;比特币唯有转账存储。此五胜也。
观此五胜,则以太坊当兴,比特币当亡矣。
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PrincessQingyue:
Keep it up!
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