What really caught my attention wasn’t that $ETH suddenly surged, but that the earlier pullbacks didn’t break the structure. These details matter a lot in trading. My view is that as long as the rhythm around 1672.33 hasn’t gone out of control, there’s still room for upside. After the price pushed to 1809.71, the market’s feedback was pretty direct; the current +1429.61% is essentially a rhythm realization. During this move, I wasn’t overly excited. Instead, I focused more on profit protection and drawdown control—because in an uptrend, it’s easiest for emotions to distort judgment. After trading for so long, I’m increasingly feeling that documenting the process is more meaningful than just looking at the outcome. I’ll keep observing going forward in line with my own rhythm. $BTC $SOL

7.13 BTC Analysis After the current 1-hour timeframe broke out of the Bollinger Bands' contraction and expanded in a one-way trend, the earlier price formed a pulse exhaustion top under pressure along the upper Bollinger Band. After the long-side volume decayed step by step, it then moved into a continuous bearish K-step pullback. Once the price effectively broke through the Bollinger middle band—this key pivot between bulls and bears—it further probed downward and pierced the outer lower band, triggering a divergence in the extreme deviation rate. The RSI short-term indicator has fallen into the oversold dull/flattened zone. The rebound that is about to occur is only a deviation-repair type corrective bounce, which is a typical bull-trap pullback. The upside rebound room is locked down by the dynamic pressure of the middle band, making it difficult to complete the structural retest confirmation. The Bollinger channel has already shifted from sideways contraction to downward opening. The medium-term bearish trend has been established. From a trading perspective, the focus is on short-selling under pressure around resistance levels. The optimal window to open a short is when the retracement approaches the middle-band moving average area. Continuing to probe the lows below is still the main theme of the market. Do not misjudge a technical repair as a bottom reversal. Trading suggestion: 63900-64400🈳, targets 62900-62400.$BTC $GT $SOL

7.13 Monday ETH morning outlook Ethereum’s current price is around 1804, down slightly 0.17% over the past 24 hours, trading in a range of 1778-1829. Following Bitcoin’s tight range movement, momentum is relatively weak, trading volume is quiet, and we’re still waiting for the US CPI data to provide direction. On the flows side, Ethereum spot ETFs ended eight consecutive weeks of net outflows and turned to a stage of weekly net inflows. Institutions are positioning at lower levels, but the share of short positions among retail traders is relatively high, and there is a lack of sustained buying support in the short term. Long-term, staking lockup volume remains stable; the on-chain deflation mechanism continues to run, providing a floor. The macro logic is consistent with Bitcoin: the Fed’s slightly hawkish tone caps upside, and price action remains correlated with the broader market. Technicals are neutral overall, with daily charts under pressure from short-term moving averages. Near-term resistance is 1820-1830; only after holding above it can we look toward 1850-1900. Near-term support is 1770; the key defense level is 1720. If 1720 breaks, the rebound rhythm will weaken. Trading suggestion: look for a move within 1800-1820, target 1760; if it breaks, you can see 1720$BTC $ETH $SOL