July 13 Jingwen: Big Cake (BTC) thoughts and plan The current market is showing a clear bearish pressure during high-level consolidation. The 65,000 level has been repeatedly suppressed, and the bulls have attempted to rally multiple times but failed to break through effectively. On the 4-hour timeframe, MACD has been continuously running below the waterline; overall market momentum is weak. In the short term, there is no condition for a one-way major surge. For today, priority is placed on rebound and selling into strength. Key support below is concentrated in the 61,850–61,350 range. If the price pulls back to this support band and stabilizes, you can consider going long for a low-level rebound. Trading reference: Short: Enter near 64,500 on a rebound. Target 63,500. If there is an effective breakdown, hold for a move toward 62,000. Long: Buy on a dip near 61,350. Target 63,000. If there is a strong breakout, look up to 64,500$BTC #LAB两日腰斩53%

BTC Today Strategy | July 13 $BTC Precise Setup Entry timing: Price rebounds to 64,000–64,200 Add to short positions: Take profit near the 64,300–64,500 breakout rejection area Stop-loss: Above 64,750 Take profit in stages First target: 63,200 Second target: 62,500 Core logic: The prior high acts as resistance, causing a fast drop. With long momentum exhausting, price consolidates and turns weaker. This rebound has pushed up to around 64,484, where it hit resistance at the prior-high dense trapped-liquidity zone. Long upside momentum quickly weakens, compounded by the Fed’s persistently hawkish remarks continuing to pressure rate-cut expectations. The market has officially entered the post-rebound pressure-and-fall phase, with an overall range-bound to downward bias. The U.S. Dollar Index remains in strong consolidation, continuously suppressing risk-asset valuations. The Middle East geopolitical tailwind has completely faded. With no further incremental catalysts, it’s difficult to break above the prior high, and profit-taking pressure continues to be released. From the large-money perspective, BTC spot ETFs continue to show net outflow. Top institutions are clearly reducing holdings on rallies. This round of上涨 is mainly driven by short-term leveraged funds, lacking sustained support from incremental capital—so the foundation for the rally is thin. In the derivatives market, funding rates have rapidly fallen from the highs. Open interest has peaked and started to decline. Long enthusiasm has cooled sharply, ending the short-squeeze conditions and gradually releasing sell pressure. On the technical side, on the 4-hour timeframe, price is under the prior high of 64,729 and has closed with a long upper wick under pressure. The Bollinger Band upper rail turns downward. A MACD top-divergence pattern confirms that the rebound trend is over and an adjustment cycle has started. On the 1-hour timeframe, the 64,200 area forms short-term strong resistance. After pushing up, price rapidly drops. Near-term support below lies at the 63,300 prior consolidation plateau; once it is effectively broken, it will open up downside room. Expected overall trading range today: 63,100–64,500. In terms of execution, focus on selling at rebound highs, with low-level long trades as a secondary option. Strictly manage position sizing and set stop-losses. $BTC ‌#LAB两日腰斩53%

$BTC Earlier this morning I made it clear: the four-hour Bollinger middle rail is the boundary between bulls and bears. Once it is effectively broken down below 636, the chart will enter a sustained pullback! Right now, the market is moving straight down as expected, with the low probing 635, and it just stepped into the support zone at the lower band of the hourly chart. Although the short-term breakdown below the middle rail signals weakness, the overall larger picture is still bullish. The lower band’s support strength is showing—Silk Road has directly switched to low-long, and this technical rebound is a chance to take a good bite. In a ranging market, don’t blindly chase shorts. When price drops to the lower band, that’s a short-term long opportunity. Let small profits add up—keep position sizing a bit lighter, and watch out for geopolitical news to stab the market!