Gate News, on March 18, the dot plot released by the Federal Reserve on March 19 shows that 19 officials are divided on 2026 interest rate policy: 7 officials believe rates should remain unchanged throughout the year, 7 officials believe rates should be cut cumulatively by 25 basis points, 2 officials believe rates should be cut cumulatively by 50 basis points, 2 officials believe rates should be cut cumulatively by 75 basis points, and 1 official believes rates should be cut cumulatively by 100 basis points. Overall, the median of the dot plot shows that rates will be cut cumulatively by 25 basis points in 2026.

Gate News, on March 18, First Citizens Bank Head of Markets and Economic Research Phil Neuhart stated that investors and markets will pay special attention to the median federal funds rate forecast for the end of 2026. Neuhart believes the median will continue to show only one rate cut for the remainder of this year. He pointed out that aside from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) forecasts, the tone of Powell's press conference will be the key variable swaying markets, particularly how he will address the contradiction between recent oil price surges and weak labor market data.

On March 11,, French police arrested 12 suspects involved in planning last year's cryptocurrency kidnapping case, rescuing a Swiss man who had been held for four days. The kidnappers demanded ransom paid in cryptocurrency, and the victim was subjected to severe abuse. Authorities have identified approximately 20 related individuals and have filed multiple charges against several suspects.

PANews February 8 News, Arthur Hayes tweeted that Bitcoin derivatives do not trigger price volatility; they only amplify two-way fluctuations. The crypto market crash is not due to any secret conspiracy. Fortunately, there was no government bailout, allowing for the quick clearing of over-leveraged investors and the restoration of the upward trend.

Today's December FOMC meeting has become the focus of global markets, with investors closely tracking the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and economic forecasts to assess the direction of monetary policy in 2026 and evaluate its potential impact on crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Market predictions put the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at as high as 80% to 92%. If realized, the federal funds rate range will drop to 3.50% to 3.75%, marking the third rate cut this year. The likelihood of a pause or unexpected rate hike is extremely low, but any deviation from expectations in the decision could still trigger significant market volatility.

Analysts at BNY Mellon pointed out that the market has already priced in expectations for a Fed rate cut this month, which is anticipated to be a hawkish cut. Future monetary easing will depend on economic data from 2026. At the same time, the change in Fed chairmanship and the FOMC dot plot could lead to policy divergence, reflecting two-way economic risks.

BlockBeats news, on December 1, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will attend an event at Stanford University in memory of the late George Shultz and deliver a speech. However, due to the Fed's communication blackout period before the decision, he will not address economic issues. With no official statements expected before next Wednesday's interest rate decision, traders currently predict that the probability of the Fed cutting rates by another 25 basis points is close to 90%. If this rate cut materializes, the market will focus on the Fed's updated "dot plot" to look for clues about the interest rate direction in 2026.

According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 reports, the Fed's dot plot indicates that the median expectations for the federal funds rate at the end of 2025, 2026, 2027, and the long term are 3.6%, 3.4%, 3.1%, and 3%, respectively, which is a downward adjustment from the June expectations of 3.9%, 3.6%, 3.4%, and 3%. The median expectation for the federal funds rate at the end of 2028 is 3.1%.

Jin10 data September 18 news, Fed dot plot: Among 19 officials, 1 official believes interest rates should not be cut in 2025 (in June it was 7).

Odaily News Analysts from LHMeyer, an institution tracking Fed dynamics, wrote in a report to clients that the "dot plot" released after the Fed meeting will include Milan. Burgett further pointed out that Milan "will almost certainly vote against the decision to 'cut rates by 25 basis points'," although his name will not be marked on the dot plot, it may show his inclination towards a "significant rate cut."