According to Bloomberg, Trump's approximately $1.4 billion in crypto gains have become the primary obstacle to passing the Clarity Act, as a Senate Republican draft released on July 25 drew immediate criticism from Democrats and consumer advocacy groups over insufficient ethical provisions to prevent Trump and his family from profiting from crypto ventures. The bill requires at least seven Democratic Senate votes to advance; Maryland Democrat Angela Alsobrooks called ethics safeguards "critical."
Three core disputes remain: Department of Justice monopoly on enforcement excluding state attorneys general, whether moral restrictions cover indirect Trump holdings, and provisions failing to constrain officials' children. The ethics clause expires automatically on January 20, 2029. Arizona Democrat Ruben Gallego and North Carolina Republican Thom Tillis are exploring compromise language, though Senate Majority Leader John Thune expects passage before the August recess is unlikely. Polymarket data shows the bill's passage probability has dropped to roughly one-third this year.