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$XAUUSD Experienced a wave of extremely strong unilateral upward movement, reaching the 5,600 level. But after encountering resistance near 5,600, the market entered a clear high-level distribution phase. The highs are no longer making new records, and the lows are continuously being tested. The previous upward trend has been broken, and it is now in a medium-term correction zone. The price is currently in the lower side of the right-side downward channel or a large-scale consolidation zone.
4,550 - 4,500 is the last line of defense for the bulls. It is most prudent to stay in cash and observ

#Polymarket每日热点
As the 2026 NBA Western Conference Semifinals came to an end, the Los Angeles Lakers were swept out by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 0-4. 41-year-old LeBron James once again left uncertainty in his post-game interview that sparked speculation, causing trading activity on Polymarket and Kalshi regarding his retirement to surge.
James's comments after the game seemed more like an emotional outburst. Based on current feedback from prediction markets, most believe the King is reluctant to end his career being swept. Compared to a complete departure, the probability of him returning t

#Polymarket每日热点
According to the latest monitoring by the World Health Organization and various health agencies, the conclusion is that the likelihood of a global hantavirus pandemic erupting in 2026 is extremely low. The WHO clearly states that although the virus is highly toxic, its risk level to the global public is very low. The reason is that its transmission efficiency is far less than that of the flu or COVID-19, and it usually requires prolonged, close contact for human-to-human transmission to occur.
Hantavirus causes rapid onset of illness, and patients quickly enter intensive care

# Bitcoin Holds Steady Above 80k
The global markets are experiencing intense fluctuations amid the dividends of the free plan and the shelling of Fuchaira. $BTC Bitcoin has withstood macroeconomic pressures, struggling to hold steady above 80,000, while Brent crude oil remains watchful at the high of $114. The rescue plan launched by Trump was originally a quick-acting confidence booster for risk assets, driven by suppressing freight expectations during the May Day period. When rescue costs exceed oil price premiums, the suspension of the plan becomes inevitable. This suspension window won't

#比特币突破7.9万美元
If the trading volume in the U.S. market today can continue to grow, we might see it test the 77,500 - 78,200 range. Although 79,000 is just around the corner, selling pressure at high levels usually erupts before such psychological thresholds. Long-term bullish outlook, with the cost basis well below 60K, means holding positions unchanged remains the mainstream choice. The macro cycle after the halving typically supports longer-term upward movement. In the short term, you can choose to take profits in stages; selling 10%-20% of your position near 79,000 is rational, and if a pul

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#加密市场回涨
Trump announces a 5-day delay on strikes against Iranian energy facilities and claims productive dialogue has taken place. This pattern of extreme threats followed by sweeteners is his typical deal-making style, with the core aim of suppressing elevated oil prices and boosting U.S. equities to ease inflation pressures. Iranian officials quickly denied the existence of negotiations, calling it psychological warfare, and stated they would not return to the negotiating table unless the U.S. ceases aggression. This looks more like a delaying tactic—once the 5-day deadline passes, if Iran

#加密行情震荡
$BTC is currently consolidating around 70k, which is not only a psychological round number level but also the dividing line between bulls and bears. During the day it once broke below 69k but quickly recovered, indicating strong buying support in the 68500-69000 zone. The real resistance is at 72000-74000. If $BTC fails to break through on increased volume and establish itself above 73300, then the current consolidation looks more like a corrective pullback after a rebound rather than the start of a counterattack.
Middle East tensions have driven up global risk-aversion sentiment. A

#美联储维持利率不变
The Fed announced that interest rates will remain unchanged. Powell bluntly stated that the Iran conflict is driving up energy prices, but no one knows how long the inflation shock will last. Expectations for rate cuts in 2026 have further cooled, as markets digest the possibility of higher rates for a longer period.
‍$BTC $ETH

#国际油价突破100美元
The global energy market is experiencing an earthquake. Due to the escalation of US-Israel military actions against Iran and the risk of the Strait of Hormuz being blocked, $XTIUSD crude oil prices surged over 25 intraday, reaching a high of $114.63, while Brent crude also broke through $116. This is the first time since 2022 that oil prices have returned to the hundred-dollar era, with a single-day increase setting a historic record.
Oil production in southern Iraq has plummeted by 70%, and Kuwait has declared force majeure to reduce output. The Strait of Hormuz, through which

#比特币创下近一月内新高
Stimulated by both U.S. political developments and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin reached a high of 74,050 in the early hours of March 5, marking a nearly one-month high. The core drivers include the nomination of Powell, expectations of interest rate cuts, and increased geopolitical risk aversion. The White House officially nominated Kevin Powell as Federal Reserve Chair. The market generally views this as a dovish signal, expecting his appointment to promote looser monetary policy, which directly benefits high-risk assets. The U.S. Senate did not pass the vote to halt sanctions

#美伊局势影响
As the US-Iran conflict escalates to direct confrontation, global markets have entered a war inflation mode. The substantial blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has directly cut off 20% of the world's oil supply, causing Brent crude oil to surge within days and approach the $100 mark. Due to disruptions at Qatar's energy facilities, liquefied natural gas prices have also spiked, indicating that global energy costs will face a new round of vicious inflation.
Rerouting through the Cape of Good Hope has doubled shipping costs, making oil giants and offshore oil tanker sectors without Middle

#美伊局势影响
The US and Israel launched the Epic Fury military operation against Iran, with thick smoke billowing over Tehran. This geopolitical shockwave has quickly reshaped the global asset logic. Despite the turmoil, BTC has shown remarkable resilience, once recovering to the $70,000 level. This reflects that when traditional financial systems are hindered, funds view BTC as digital gold and a tool for cross-border asset transfer. However, since global liquidity remains tight through 2026, the $70,000 level is more of a psychological sentiment zone. If the conflict does not subside quickly, hi