JiangfengCapital

June 11 BTC/ETH Market Evening Report -- Tensions Rise in US-Iran Geopolitical Situation, Market Once Again Significantly Suppressed
Tonight, Trump threatened to carry out larger-scale bombings on Iran, while Iran responded firmly, promising more painful counterattacks. The conflict between the two sharply escalated. This extreme uncertainty could lead to a broad asset sell-off, suppressing Bitcoin's rise. Additionally, with the Bank of Japan's upcoming monetary policy meeting, market consensus has shifted towards a 25 basis point rate hike, which will influence market sentiment. Resistance

June 11 BTC/ETH Market Morning Report: How long is the horizontal, how high is the vertical!
Early in the morning, I forgot the password for the trading software, and just after setting up the morning report, it turned into a noon report. This week, starting from Monday, the market has been moving downward from high levels, which has been effectively validated. Bitcoin around 64,300, 62,500, 62,150 has been shorted, all reaching near 61,000; Ethereum around 1717, 1700, 1660 has also reached the 1600 level as expected. This area has been consolidating sideways for 3-4 days, probably about to br

June 10th BTC/ETH Market Evening Report—Core CPI Yearly Rate First Exceeds Last Year’s Level, Caution for Hidden Rate Hikes
The US May seasonally adjusted core CPI monthly rate announced this evening was 0.2%, with a market expectation median of 0.3% and a previous value of 0.4%. Short-term interest rate futures show the market has reduced bets on Fed rate hikes. Bitcoin experienced a slight rally, reaching around 62,445, just aligning with our morning article’s short positions near 62,150–62,500, as well as Ethereum shorts around 1,660.
It is worth pondering that the data shows May’s core CPI

June 10th BTC/ETH Market Morning Report -- Be cautious when bottom fishing, the bottom still needs a deeper dip
I clearly remember last year when Bitcoin was hovering around 120k yuan, everyone was cheering to reach 150k, 200k, 250k, only I believed the top was imminent, advising everyone to sell in time and consider shorting. Later, I also provided an in-depth analysis based on Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle, clearly indicating that the Bitcoin top would be around October 2025, and the bottom would appear between June and November 2026, most likely in September to November. Now we just wai

June 9 BTC/ETH Market Morning Report
In yesterday’s article, it was mentioned that you should consider taking a long position near 64,300–65,000 for Bitcoin, and taking a long position near 1,717–1,750 for Ethereum. This morning, after price touched these nearby areas, it started to move back down (pull back). At the current price around 62,400, from the chart below it can be clearly seen that the current price has reached the short-term upward trend line support. This is not a place to recklessly chase a short. Instead, for those who are planning to enter short positions, pay attention to red

Never Run When Profitable, Hold Through Losses, and Revenge Trade: A Full-Time Trader’s Self-Examination
The following article is a summary of all the fatal mistakes I encountered in trading over the past few years. I hope everyone can take this to heart, avoid detours, and achieve stable profits as soon as possible!
That 15-minute candlestick chart on my screen is slowly eating away at the last bit of luck I have left. My unrealized profit slips from +200 points back to +80 points. I keep telling myself, “It’s just a pullback—the trend hasn’t changed,” and even unconsciously I adjust my stop-

Recent market rebound: is it a "kill the shorts" move or a successful bottoming? The sword of interest rates still hangs overhead!
Bitcoin has rebounded from the lows around $59,000, and market sentiment seems to be stirring again. Some friends might think the reversal has arrived. But I believe this rebound is at best a technical correction, and the bottom likely still needs further testing. As early as October last year, when Bitcoin was above $100k, I published an analysis article based on the Bitcoin halving cycle, clearly indicating that $126,200 is the top of this cycle, and the market w

🚨Morning BTC /ETH Market Briefing on 4/26🚨

🔶On this journey, we have pushed Ethereum up from around 1537 to around 1724, and then to around 1766 last night. I have to say that Ethereum's positioning has been quite precise (the battle record is publicly accessible across the network). However, it has not been very impressive. Recently, I've been too focused on Ethereum and neglected the big brother Bitcoin, which has now stood above 95000. So today, let's take a look at Bitcoin.
$BTC
🔶Remember the post on April 22 that indicated BTC was forming a head and shoulders bottom pattern. If it

🚨4/22 Morning BTC/ETH Market Report🚨
🔶I have to say Ethereum is really weak. Yesterday we had long positions at 1611～1600～1538. After we entered at 1611, it came close to 1642 and was moving quite steadily at first. However, as BTC continued to rise, it suddenly dropped to around 1535, which affected our additional position at 1538. Now the average price is around 1573, and the 85800 long position for BTC still hasn’t given us an entry opportunity. So let's look for answers on the market again today.
$BTC
🔶The price rose to 88880 in the morning and has started to retrace. Currently, the p

🚨4/17 Morning Market Flash 🚨
🔶 Lao Bao opened the currency circle and shook three times, yesterday our average price of 84500 near the lowest short order also came to the 83100 line, has been reduced after the rebound in the early morning to protect the principal loss out, eat more than 1400 points,
🔶 Ether 1607~1618 near the highest short order only came to 1614 nearby, immediately hit our target near 1540, has also been reduced to protect the capital, is also a small more than 70 points, Ejiajun channel in the evening let 1537 hang the light position is also a perfect docking is currentl

🚨4/16 midday BTC/ETH market report🚨
🔶 Bitcoin touched the lowest near 83000, there is no doubt that our 84267~83947 long orders have been reduced at 85500 and 86000, and Ethereum has also been caught off guard, and our 1610~1600 long orders are also in ~1647~1670~1680, all of which have prompted everyone to reduce their positions, and now they have also played to protect their principal and losses. The chat room also reminds everyone in the early morning that there is a lot of pressure around 1 6 2 5, and it is difficult to continue to rise if it does not break through. Indicators will dece

🚨4/15 midday BTC/ETH market quick report🚨
🔶Yesterday, Bitcoin dipped to around 83700 and started to rebound. Our long positions from yesterday at 84267 to 83940 rose to around 85700 after entering previously, and we timely posted to suggest reducing positions. After reducing positions in the evening, the price began to retrace back to around 83700. Our supplementary position at 83940 has also been reached. Today, it surged again to around 85800, with a gain of 1800 points during this period. Now, the resistance at the 86000 level seems to be relatively strong.
ETH was bullish around 16100,

🚨🚨Attention! The long order near $ETH 1610 has completed its first target at around 1670, it's time to reduce position. Now we need to wait for it to stabilize at 1670 to open a new round of rising market. The long order near $BTC 84267 has also reached a high of about 849400, as mentioned in the article, Ethereum might be gathering strength to pump, and indeed it has been verified today. Today's Ethereum performance is still stronger than Bitcoin's. Did everyone manage to enter a position in time? #Gate.io 12周年 #近期热币 #BABY Launchpool

🚨4/14 Morning BTC/ETH Market Report🚨
🔶After taking a two-day break over the weekend, the plaza hasn't updated synchronously. The VIP members of the E family are still actively providing support, with long positions completed near 1550 achieving a target of 1670, and the long positions between 1600-1536 reaching a maximum of around 1660. We are still a bit away from our first target near 1 6 7 0, so today's strategy will still focus on low long positions, and we will look for answers on the chart.
🔶$BTC is facing cloud resistance near 852 0 0 on the daily chart, and only a valid breakthroug

🚨4/10 Morning BTC/ETH Market Report🚨
🔶Recently, the impact of tariffs has been significant. We have been making profits all the way down this month. Yesterday, the average price for the short position on BTC was indicated at 77900 for adding positions, with an average price near 77500. The lowest point yesterday was also around 75780, and after the indication to reduce positions, we have already exited with a break-even. The average price for ETH was 1580, with the lowest point also reaching around 1440, and we have similarly exited with a break-even after reducing positions. The market has

🚨4/9 Morning BTC/ETH Market Update🚨
🔶Yesterday's market was quite exciting, and we made a lot of profits by shorting all the way down. Yesterday, Bitcoin dropped from an average price of 79500 to around 74578 this morning, making a small gain of 5000 points. Ethereum also saw a short from 1570, hitting our ultimate target near 1388, with a low of 1384, which is also a small gain of about 200 points. I also reminded members who hadn't entered the market to chase directly at 1510 and short at 1481 in the midnight chat room, both achieving the 1388 target. Most positions have been advised to e

🚨4/8 Morning BTC/ETH Market Report🚨
🔶Yesterday's Market Review: The price of BTC dropped to around 74460, which is the Fibonacci 0.618 level and the bottom of the 5-day level cloud cover. It was mentioned in the chat room as well, but what surprised me was that it directly surged above 81000. Whether it was fake news or other factors, I won’t delve into it; I can only say that it was my own judgment error. Today's operation, we continue to seek answers from the market:
🔶The current daily chart shows that the turning line and the baseline are basically overlapping, indicating that a directi

🚨4/7 Morning BTC/ETH Market Report🚨
🔶Recently, I've been emphasizing that we shouldn't go long, we shouldn't catch the bottom, and we should treat any rebound as an opportunity to short. Since around 85,000, I've been advising everyone to primarily focus on shorting. However, I've noticed that many friends still can't resist the urge to catch the bottom, thinking that 83,000 is the bottom, 82,000 is the bottom, 81,000 is the bottom, and now they believe that 78,000 is the bottom. I don't even know where the bottom is 🤦‍♂️, but I don't think this is the bottom. The first principle of tradin

🚨4/6 Afternoon BTC/ETH Market Quick Report🚨
🔶 Market Review for Yesterday: The overall market is still weak, with Bitcoin failing to effectively break through the Fibonacci retracement line at 0.318 and directly dropping instead. The short position we provided around 84800 on Friday rebounded to a maximum of about 84686, which is a difference of 114 points from our entry point, and then it directly plunged to the 81624 level. I wonder if anyone entered the market early nearby; if not, then continue to refer to today's levels. For intraday operations, we will look for answers on the chart.
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🚨Midnight BTC/ETH Market Report🚨
🔶 Today's market review: The market tonight may fluctuate up and down, let's take a conservative approach for the midnight strategy. During the afternoon, the average short price for Bitcoin around 83400～84000 is also near 83700, with a low also reaching the evening line of 81624, which is about 2000 points in between, it depends on how you grasp it. Ethereum has given a short at 1816, with the lowest coming down to the 1757 line, both of which have achieved the second and third targets. So let's keep up the effort at midnight and look for answers on the mar