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From Argentina’s 2-1 last-gasp win over England to Spain’s 58% chance of winning, how do prediction markets price the championship outcome?

From Argentina’s 2-1 last-gasp win over England to Spain’s 58% chance of winning, how do prediction markets price the championship outcome?

In the early hours of July 16, 2026, Beijing time, the second semifinal of the 2026 US-Canada-Mexico World Cup wrapped up at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. After conceding first, defending champions Argentina leveled the match with a world-class strike by Enzo Fernández in the 85th minute, and then Lautaro Martínez scored a decisive header in stoppage time in the 92nd minute to overturn England 2-1 and advance to the final for two consecutive World Cups. Argentina will face Spain, who defeate

1h ago

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US CPI cools as oil prices surge: How could the US-Iran conflict change the Fed’s interest rate path?

On July 14, the U.S. Bureau of Labor published June 2026 CPI data. June’s CPI year over year, not seasonally adjusted, rose 3.5%, below the market expectation of 3.8% and significantly down from the prior value of 4.2%. Core CPI rose 2.6% year over year, also below the expectation of 2.8% and the prior value of 2.9%. Seasonally adjusted CPI fell 0.4% month over month, the largest one-month drop since April 2020, and the first time in six years that CPI has shown negative month-over-month growth.
XTIUSD-0.72%
XBRUSD-0.82%
4h ago
US CPI cools as oil prices surge: How could the US-Iran conflict change the Fed’s interest rate path?

Can the 2026 Clarity Act still pass? Gate prediction market data shows the probability of passage is only 35%.

On July 16, 2026, with only about 20 working days left until the U.S. Senate’s August 7 summer recess, Gate’s prediction market data shows the probability that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) will be officially signed into law in 2026 is only 35%—down from as high as 82% in February 2026. Over five months, nearly 50 percentage points of probability have evaporated. This is not the impact of a single event, but the result of a layered combination of institutional obstacles, pol
BTC-0.87%
ETH-1.90%
KALSHI-10.71%
SOL-1.82%
6h ago
Can the 2026 Clarity Act still pass? Gate prediction market data shows the probability of passage is only 35%.

BlackRock shares jump 6.63% in a single day: How Bitcoin spot ETFs and RWA are reshaping growth logic for asset-management giants?

On July 16, 2026 (Beijing time), shares of BlackRock (NYSE: BLK), the world’s largest asset manager, closed at $1,093.40. The stock rose by $67.96 on the day, a gain of 6.63%. Trading volume surged from 719,100 shares in the prior session to 1,416,515 shares. The jump turned BLK’s performance for the year from negative to positive, but its cumulative gain of 2.9% since the start of the year still trails the S&P 500’s 10.5% gain over the same period. A nearly 7% single-d
BLK1.29%
12h ago
BlackRock shares jump 6.63% in a single day: How Bitcoin spot ETFs and RWA are reshaping growth logic for asset-management giants?

World Cup semifinal: England vs. Argentina—once again a clash of old rivals; does the defending champion have a high chance of advancing?

On July 15, 2026, the second World Cup semifinal between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico will kick off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, USA. England and Argentina—two teams carrying decades of mutual grudges—will battle for the final ticket to this edition’s championship match. Spain already defeated France 2-0 in the first semifinal, securing a spot in the final. For Argentina, looking to defend their title, and for England, eager to return to the final for the first time in 60 years, the outc
07-15 11:03
World Cup semifinal: England vs. Argentina—once again a clash of old rivals; does the defending champion have a high chance of advancing?

Hormuz Strait crisis escalates: oil prices break $85—how far is global crude from $100?

As the military conflict between the US and Iran continues to escalate, market concerns about the risk of disruption to crude oil supply have intensified further. Crude oil prices rebounded sharply intraday: WTI crude oil has regained the level of $80 per barrel, while Brent crude oil at one point approached $86 per barrel. On July 15, 2026, Gate data shows that as of the latest quote, WTI is $78.84 per barrel, down 1.04% over the past 24 hours, with an intraday trading range of $77.34 to $80.55
XTIUSD-0.72%
XBRUSD-0.82%
07-15 06:57
Hormuz Strait crisis escalates: oil prices break $85—how far is global crude from $100?

US CPI drops to 3.5%, below expectations: do hopes for rate cuts intensify, sparking a liquidity rebound for US AI stocks and Bitcoin?

On July 14, 2026, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The data showed that the U.S. June CPI fell 0.4% month over month, marking the first monthly negative growth since May 2020; the year-over-year increase dropped sharply from 4.2% in May to 3.5%, below the market’s 3.8% expectation. Core CPI was flat month over month and rose 2.6% year over year, also below expectations. This data triggered a rapid and widespread Chain Reaction in financial
NVDA-2.81%
BTC-0.93%
07-15 02:48
US CPI drops to 3.5%, below expectations: do hopes for rate cuts intensify, sparking a liquidity rebound for US AI stocks and Bitcoin?

SK Hynix ADR surges 27% to a record high: How do HBM4, AI computing demand, and institutional bullish bets propel storage chips into a new cycle?

On July 15, 2026, Beijing time, the global semiconductor market experienced a landmark event. SK Hynix’s American depositary receipts (ADRs) surged 27.29% in a single day on Nasdaq, closing at $193.92, setting a new all-time high since listing. The gain not only fully recovered the 9.3% decline from the previous trading day but also widened its ADR premium over SK Hynix’s ordinary shares listed in South Korea to 51%, far above the roughly 3% issuance premium during last week’s IPO. {currencycard
SKHY-8.67%
07-15 01:55
SK Hynix ADR surges 27% to a record high: How do HBM4, AI computing demand, and institutional bullish bets propel storage chips into a new cycle?

Oil prices surged nearly 9% in a single day—how will renewed conflict between the US and Iran reshape the Fed’s rate-cut strategy?

On July 14, 2026, global energy market conditions and monetary policy expectations both experienced violent swings simultaneously. Driven by the sudden escalation of the U.S.-Iran military conflict, international oil prices recorded their largest single-day jump in nearly a month. According to Gate market data, WTI crude’s latest price is $79.79, with a 24-hour increase of 8.84%. Intraday trading ranged between $72.65 and $80.43. Brent crude is at $84.74, up 8.46% over the past 24 hours. Meanwhi
XTIUSD-0.72%
XBRUSD-0.82%
07-14 09:28
Oil prices surged nearly 9% in a single day—how will renewed conflict between the US and Iran reshape the Fed’s rate-cut strategy?

World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain — Mbappé vs. Yamal. Who will reach the final?

The first semifinal of the 2026 World Cup between the US, Canada, and Mexico will kick off on July 14 local time at Dallas Stadium. France and Spain, the top two teams in the FIFA rankings, will settle for the first spot in this edition’s final in a direct showdown. This is not only a clash between two distinctly different football philosophies—France’s efficient counterattacks versus Spain’s absolute possession play—but also a fated matchup that has appeared in major tournament semifinals for t
07-14 08:37
World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain — Mbappé vs. Yamal. Who will reach the final?