Gate News reports that on March 12, according to PolyBeats monitoring, two high-probability addresses on a prediction market platform collectively invested $15,000, betting that there will be no ceasefire between the US and Iran before May. The opening prices ranged from 50.6¢ to 51.5¢, currently trading at 52.5¢.
In geopolitical news, Iran continues to escalate attacks on Gulf shipping and energy facilities. Two oil tankers carrying Iraqi fuel oil caught fire in Iraqi waters. Iraqi port officials said preliminary investigations indicate the attack was carried out by small boats loaded with explosives coming from Iran. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains stalled, and analysts say there are no signs of de-escalation before safe passage is restored, nor any end in sight for the oil flow disruption.
Based on past trading patterns, this trader is not betting on whether the event will actually occur but is engaging in opening and closing positions at certain points for profit or loss. The involved account addresses are: 0x2120ea0323fcf5446233056467fdb852b4b12647 and 0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c95.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
CFTC Sues 5-6 States Over Prediction Market Authority at Consensus 2026
According to CFTC Chair Michael Selig at Consensus 2026, the CFTC has sued approximately five to six states, including Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, and New York, over regulatory authority of prediction markets. The core dispute centers on whether the CFTC or state regulators have jurisdiction ove
GateNews1h ago
Polymarket’s Popular Prediction: Can a Permanent Peace Agreement Between the US and Iran Be Implemented in 2026?
Can a permanent peace agreement between the US and Iran be reached in 2026? Polymarket prediction markets provide a probability distribution across different time milestones, with total trading volume exceeding $78 million.
GateInstantTrends3h ago
PSG's Champions League Odds Surge to 57% on Polymarket After Semifinal Win, Up 29% in 24 Hours
According to Odaily Seer monitoring Polymarket data, Paris Saint-Germain's odds to win the Champions League rose to 57% earlier today, up 29% in 24 hours, while Arsenal's odds stand at 43%, up 1% over the same period. PSG advanced to the final after drawing 1-1 away against Bayern Munich in the Cham
GateNews4h ago
Whale Account Buys $260,000 Spurs -9.5 Spread on Polymarket Ahead of NBA Playoff Game Today
According to Odaily Seer, a 54% win-rate account (0xa2cced8bfae7d645f7f437fb76becf2fcbb70cbc) purchased $260,000 in Spurs -9.5 spread bets on Polymarket today (May 7) ahead of the NBA Western Conference semifinals Game 2 against the Timberwolves, which begins at 9:30 a.m. Beijing time. The account o
GateNews5h ago
Profitable Polymarket Account Buys $60K Position on 76ers in NBA Playoff Game 2
According to Odaily Seer, an account with over $2.2 million in lifetime gains purchased $60,000 worth of positions betting on the 76ers to defeat the Knicks in Game 2 of the NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals on Polymarket, with an average entry price of 20 cents. The position is currently
GateNews5h ago
Account With 41% Win Rate Purchases $103K Bayern Munich Victory Contracts on Polymarket Ahead of May 7 Champions League Semifinal
According to Odaily Seer, an account with a 41% historical win rate purchased $103,000 in Bayern Munich victory contracts on Polymarket on May 6 at an average entry price of 60.8 cents. The Champions League semifinal second leg between Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain is scheduled for May 7 at
GateNews14h ago
