According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler on June 28, Strategy's market net asset value (mNAV) has fallen below 1, indicating that market premium pricing for the company's business model has disappeared. This means the market is no longer willing to pay above the value of its bitcoin holdings for the stock, complicating future fundraising through equity issuance and continued bitcoin accumulation.
Axel Adler noted that Bitcoin is entering a "structural stress phase," characterized by short-term holder capitulation, liquidity deterioration, and declining new capital inflows. He recommended monitoring Bitcoin's realized price bands to assess whether the market is in an overheated, fair value, or structural stress zone.