SpaceX Options Markets Price Less Than 50% Probability of Becoming World's Most Valuable Company by 2028

According to CNBC, SpaceX, which went public via Nasdaq listing at a valuation of approximately $2.6 trillion, has become the world's fifth-largest listed company. Options market pricing suggests the company faces a lengthy path to reach the top spot, with less than 50% implied probability of surpassing Nvidia to become the No. 1 market cap company by June 2028 and approximately 41% probability by year-end 2028. To rank second globally, SpaceX would need a stock price increase of roughly 70% to $340, with options markets pricing a 50% probability of achieving this target before July 2028.
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