Gate News message, April 15 — Bernstein released a research report predicting prediction market trading volume will grow from $51 billion in 2025 to approximately $1 trillion by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 80%. Trading volume is expected to reach $240 billion in 2026, while Polymarket and Kalshi combined have already accumulated $60 billion in trading volume year-to-date.
The report identifies three core growth drivers: clarification of federal-level regulation, blockchain infrastructure supporting global liquidity, and integration by mainstream trading platforms. Industry revenue is projected to expand from approximately $400 million in 2025 to roughly $10.8 billion by 2030.
Distribution capability is cited as a key competitive barrier in the sector. Major retail brokerages have achieved significant traction in prediction markets, with one platform reporting an annualized revenue scale of $350 million and advancing exchange infrastructure development. Another leading platform provides national access to over 1,000 contracts through its partnership model. Bernstein maintains “outperform” ratings on both platforms.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
US media investigation: Polymarket’s Panama headquarters is a law firm that previously provided services for FTX
According to an investigation published by National Public Radio (NPR) in the United States on May 5, a reporter went to the Panama headquarters address registered on Polymarket’s official site—21st floor, Oceania Business Plaza, Panama City—and found no traces of Polymarket or any of its Panama legal entities on site. The office at that address, Garcia de Paredes Law Firm, previously provided legal services to FTX.
MarketWhisper9m ago
Polymarket: MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Odds Surge to 40%, Up 29% in 24 Hours
According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket's odds for MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin by end-2026 surged to 40%, up 29% in 24 hours. The market movement follows MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor's recent statements suggesting the company may sell some Bitcoin holdings to fund dividend
GateNews36m ago
Polymarket Whale Purchases $133,000 Thunder Spread Bet in NBA Western Semifinals Game 1 at 50¢
According to Odaily Seer, an account that has profited over $12 million on Polymarket purchased $133,000 worth of positions betting on the Thunder to beat the Lakers by 15.5 points in Game 1 of the NBA Western Conference semifinals on May 6, with an average entry price of 50 cents. The game tipped o
GateNews1h ago
Polymarket Team Member Hints POLY Token Launch Coming Soon
According to ChainCatcher, Mustafa, a Polymarket team member, hinted in a community discussion that the POLY token launch may be coming soon. When asked about staking POLY to reduce trading fees, Mustafa responded with "soon," suggesting imminent progress on the token
GateNews2h ago
Bitcoin Predicted to Reach $85K in May With 61% Probability on Polymarket
According to Polymarket, Bitcoin is predicted to reach above $85,000 in May with a 61% probability, while Ethereum is expected to stay above $2,400 with a 92% probability. The forecasting market data shows investors maintain mixed expectations, with BTC facing potential downside risks of falling
GateNews7h ago
