Fed Policy Expectations Diverge Across Institutions; Goldman Sees Potential Rate Hike in September

According to Jin10, major financial institutions hold conflicting views on the Federal Reserve's future policy direction. Goldman Sachs expects the Fed may raise rates in September or autumn if inflation fails to cool, while Huatai Securities anticipates the Fed will hold rates steady in September with a 50% probability of a hike by year-end. On rate cuts, Nordea Bank expects a delay until 2027, whereas Citigroup predicts cuts as early as 2026. JPMorgan and CITIC Securities favor maintaining the current policy stance.
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