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Capitaeconomics: Concerns About Central Bank Tightening Over Iran Conflict Appear Overblown

GateNews

2026-05-27 11:33:19

According to Capitaeconomics economists on May 27, concerns that the Iran conflict will trigger sustained inflation and spark a global tightening cycle appear overdone. The economists noted that while developed economies' inflation is expected to rise to 3-4%, the risk of sustained second-round effects is lower than during 2022-2023, given softening labor markets, weakening fiscal support, and elevated rate bases. Many policymakers are likely to overlook temporary energy-driven inflation spikes. Stagflation would only materialize in an extreme scenario involving prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption and critical infrastructure damage, they added.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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