From 15:45 to 16:00 UTC on June 15, 2026, Bitcoin rose 0.58% within 15 minutes. The price range was 66,910.6 to 67,297.6 USDT, with a volatility of 0.58%. After the market previously saw a deep drop from around $73,000 to the key support level near $61,000, it is now seeking bottom support around the $60,000 core long/short pivot. Short-term fluctuations have increased, but overall sentiment remains cautious.
The main driver behind this deviation is buy-side order replenishment at the $60,000 technical support level. This area concentrates the largest open interest in options across the entire market (about 19,000 contracts). Institutional investors have largely adopted a “sell PUT and buy CALL” strategy near $60,000 to position for a bottom. Of total block holdings, 42% shifted to selling bearish options, while 33% bought bullish options. In essence, they use options to build a bottom position with controlled risk. As price approaches this support, it triggers short-covering and bargain-buying, creating upside elasticity.
Second, market expectations ahead of the FOMC meeting (June 16–17) amplified this rebound. Forward skew had already shown a positive signal in early June. The derivatives market had expectations that the market would stabilize 3–6 months later, generating a lagged transmission effect from optimistic sentiment. Meanwhile, after spot ETF outflows totaling about $4.4 billion over 13 consecutive trading days, June 4 saw a small net inflow of $3.05 million, offering signs of marginal improvement and giving participants short-term confidence. On the macro side, the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates in the 3.50%–3.75% range, and core PCE remains above the 2% target. The market is pricing a 66% probability of zero rate cuts in 2026, and the liquidity environment remains tight, creating mid-term valuation pressure.
Be mindful of the risk of a short-term pullback. The current price still has 4.9% room before it reaches the $60,000 bearish wall. Once it breaks, the next major support is at $55,000. The upcoming CPI data and the FOMC meeting outcome could flip the order book at any time. The medium-term direction still depends on macro policy signals.