According to Bitfinex analysts, the reversal of the yen carry trade poses the clearest macro risk to bitcoin and ethereum. With the yen trading near 162 against the dollar and Japan's 10-year yield at new highs, a sharp yen reversal could tighten global liquidity and pressure BTC and ETH, according to the exchange.
Japan's central bank deployed approximately $73 billion in foreign exchange interventions between April and May to support the yen, but such efforts had limited impact on a forex market that handles over $1.6 trillion in daily volume, or about 17% of all global trade.