Gate News message, April 22 — Just 15 minutes before U.S. President Trump announced an extension of the ceasefire agreement with Iran, traders placed a $430 million bet on falling oil prices. This marks the third such wager this month and the fourth since the conflict began, demonstrating a pattern of large and precise oil price predictions timed to major Iran-related announcements.
In March, traders wagered $500 million on oil price declines on March 23, just 15 minutes before Trump announced a delay in strikes on Iranian power facilities. On April 7, a $950 million bet was placed hours before Trump announced a two-week ceasefire agreement. Most recently, on April 17, traders wagered $760 million approximately 20 minutes before Iran’s Foreign Minister announced the Strait of Hormuz would be reopened to commercial shipping. April’s total bets reached approximately $2.1 billion.
These coordinated and precisely-timed positions suggest advance knowledge of significant policy announcements affecting global oil markets.
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