Daxiao李

Trading Rules:
Enter with a light position in line with the trend; set your stop-loss first.
Move your stop-loss when you have floating profit; do not add to a losing position.
Stop immediately after making a mistake; don’t stubbornly hold against the trend.
Only place trades based on a plan—greed and fear can be reduced.

Trading Rules:
Enter when fearful, exit when greedy.
Don't chase after a missed opportunity, don't panic when trapped.
Every trade is independent; don't let gains or losses disturb your rhythm.
When rising, look at momentum; when falling, look at quality; when sideways, look at volume. Wait patiently for the signal.

Bitcoin (BTC) Upper resistance $63,500 / $64,000 / $65,600 Breakthrough of $64,000 is a continuation signal of the rebound
Support below $61,500 / $60,800 / $60,000 **$58,000. Ethereum (ETH) Upper resistance $1,680 / $1,710 / $1,720 Stabilizing above $1,700 is a sign of strength
Support below $1,615 / $1,600 / $1,560 $1,600 is a psychological defense line

Bitcoin (BTC) $62.5k - $64k fluctuation consolidation (approximately -1% to +1%)
Yesterday briefly surged above $64,000 then pulled back, currently in the $62,500-$64,000 range
Today’s market condition
Geopolitical news mixed, market oscillates within the 62.5k-64k (BTC) and 1,650-1,700 (ETH) ranges
Optimistic signals
Institutions buy on dips (Strategy buys 1,550 BTC, Bitmine buys 127k ETH), ETF begins to flow back, extreme fear sentiment diverges from price forming a bottom
Cautious signals
Middle East conflict persists, CPI data to be released tonight with uncertainty, medium-t

Reasons for today's surge: Trump's statement "U.S.-Iran talks nearing completion" + large-scale short covering ($444 million short positions liquidated)
The rebound is technically a "short squeeze," not driven by institutional funds. ETF outflows last week still totaled $1.72 billion, with holdings continuing to decline
Optimistic signals: BTC back above $63,000, ETH surging 8% leading the gains, sentiment at "extreme fear" (8) forming a bottom divergence with price rebound
Cautious signals: ETF outflows continue (last week $1.72 billion), Coinbase premium still negative, geopolitical co

Today’s rebound reasons: technical oversold correction + signals of easing geopolitical tensions + short-sellers taking profits
Optimistic signals: BTC recovers above $62,000, the $60,000 support temporarily holds, and there is a demand for a technical rebound
Cautious signals: ETF has experienced net outflows of over $3 billion for 10 consecutive days, Strategy has reduced holdings for the first time, the Fear Index remains in extreme fear territory (12), and geopolitical risks have not dissipated
Key observation level: whether BTC can hold the $1,600 level
This week’s variables: CPI

Entering a full bearish phase
Bitcoin (BTC):
· Current status: Has lost the $60,000 psychological level, hitting a low near $59,000
· Support below: 53,800
· Technical setup: Down more than 50% from the October 2025 all-time high of $126,080
Ethereum (ETH):
· Current status: Struggling in the $1,550-1,600 range, breaking through multiple technical supports
· Support below: Watch 1,356 and $1,280 (for 3x leveraged whale positions)
· Technical indicators: Below anchored VWAP (1,900), with the technical structure extremely weak

Epic-Scale Crash: Bulls Hit by a “Bloodbath”
The market is in extreme panic and stampede.
Bitcoin’s price has been slashed in half from last month’s rebound high of $81,000 to around $60,000, nearly a 50% drop from its all-time high. Only within the past hour, the total liquidation amount across the entire network has exceeded $500 million, and long positions were wiped out in a bloodbath. Notably, amid today’s market crash, asset-management giant BlackRock transferred 1,978 BTC (about $123 million) and 14,244 ETH (about $23.84 million) to Coinbase.
ETH’s plunge has been even more brutal. As t

BTC price is currently fluctuating between approximately $62,000 and $66,000.
* This week, it has fallen more than 15%, dropping to around $61,500 at one point, hitting a multi-month low.
* Market concerns mainly stem from institutional selling, the overall weakness of risk assets, and profit-taking pressure.
* Key support level: around $60,000; if broken, it may test lower levels.
ETH has fallen below $1,800.
* Some institutions have lowered their target price expectations for this year, and market sentiment remains cautious.
Today’s trend outlook
* Short-term (1-3 days): Still

Today is May 15, 2026 (Friday), and after experiencing intense volatility yesterday, the cryptocurrency market has entered a weak rebound consolidation phase. Bitcoin temporarily surged to $82,000 driven by optimistic sentiment around the "CLARITY Act," but then retreated to the $80,500-81,000 range; Ethereum is hovering above the critical support zone of $2,250-2,300.
🔍 In-Depth Analysis of Today's Market Dynamics
1. Core Variables: Two Major Events Running Parallel
Positive: The "CLARITY Act" Expectations Rise
Yesterday's market catalyst came from regulatory developments. The U.S. "Digital

Today is May 14, 2026 (Thursday), and the crypto market is still digesting the impact of high inflation data, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both losing key psychological levels.
📊 Market Overview Today
Cryptocurrency Latest Price 24h Change Key Developments
Bitcoin (BTC) $79,300 - $79,600 Down about 1.5% - 2.0% Broke below the $80,000 psychological level, touched a low of $78,720 yesterday
Ethereum (ETH) $2,260 - $2,270 Down about 1.0% - 1.2% Fell below $2,300, testing support near $2,250
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🔍 In-Depth Analysis of Today's Market Dynamics
1. Main Negative Factors: High Inflation + ETF Capital Ou

The market is not about who makes money faster, but who lasts longer. Protecting the principal means maintaining the qualification to turn things around; controlling the position size means controlling inner fears. The market is like a tide; you can't catch every wave, only go with the flow and let the trend be your most reliable ally.

今天是 2026年5月13日（周三），美国4月CPI数据“爆表”，通胀升至三年来最高水平。市场对美联储年内降息的预期基本落空，比特币（BTC）和以太坊（ETH）受冲击双双下跌。
今日市场动态深度解析
1. 宏观致命打击：高通胀击碎降息梦
昨晚公布的数据显示，美国4月CPI同比上涨 3.8%，高于预期的3.7%，创下三年来的新高。这不仅彻底浇灭了市场对美联储2026年降息的微弱希望，甚至有分析认为高利率可能会持续到2028年。
这种宏观背景下，资金的风险偏好被严重压制，直接反映在了币价的下跌上。
2. 技术分析：多空激战关键水位
· 比特币（BTC）：目前在 $80,000 - $81,500 区间内弱势震荡。
· 上方阻力：82,000；真正的牛熊分界线在 $85,000 附近。
· 下方支撑：79,200 甚至 $78,250 的支撑强度。
· 以太坊（ETH）：勉强守住 $2,250 生命线。
· 技术走弱：价格已跌破20日和100日均线，目前在50日均线（约 $2,274）处获得暂时支撑。
· 上方阻力：2,340 - $2,380 区域是强阻力区，收复前都只能视作弱势反弹。
· 下方支撑：必须守住 2,200 甚至 $2,150。
3. 机构观点：长期乐观与短期避险并存
尽管短期数据利空，但市场中仍有不同的声音：
· 短期看跌：高通胀直接压制了风险资产的

Today is Tuesday, May 12, 2026, and the cryptocurrency market remains in a range-bound consolidation. Bitcoin is oscillating with bulls and bears above $80k, while Ethereum has fallen below $2,300. The market is holding its breath, awaiting tonight's CPI data.
🔍 In-Depth Analysis of Today's Market Dynamics
1. Core Variable: CPI Data to be Announced Tonight
Tonight (Beijing time, May 12), the US will release April CPI inflation data, which is the most closely watched macro event in the current market:
· Cautious Market Expectations: Before the CPI release, funds generally choose to wait and se

In this market, survival is the top priority. Capital is the spark, and position size is the defensive line—only if the spark never goes out and the line remains intact can there be a future to talk about. Don't expect to ride every trend; understanding when to take profits and learning to follow the momentum are the most fundamental respects in trading.