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#Polymarket每日热点
Honestly, I think the Federal Reserve is most likely to stay put in June and not raise interest rates.
Although the market is increasingly calling for a rate hike, with even a 70% probability bet, I believe this is more short-term emotional speculation. Inflation data has been somewhat volatile, but it's not to the point of panic, and the economy hasn't collapsed. The Federal Reserve has no need to make big moves at this time. The new chair just took office, and it's most likely to prioritize stability, not to make a big splash right away.
For the market, not raising interes
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Fed Decision in June?
No change
1.02x
98%
25 bps decrease
105.26x
0.95%
$728.29K Vol+3 more
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#Polymarket每日热点
Who will go public first, Anthropic or OpenAI? I think neither of them will successfully hit the capital markets this fall.
OpenAI's governance structure and shareholder conflicts haven't been fully resolved yet, and the biggest obstacle on the IPO road hasn't been addressed, making it difficult to proceed in the short term. Although Anthropic has a simple structure, its commercialization progress and revenue scale are not yet sufficient to support a market-shaking IPO; rushing to go public could instead expose its weaknesses. Plus, with the overall volatility in tech stocks
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Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic 25%
OpenAI 76%
$6.12 Vol
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#Polymarket每日热点
Let’s talk about my thoughts on the timing of SpaceX’s IPO. I think it will be very difficult to finish ringing the bell by June 12, and it is very likely to be pushed back to the second half of the year or even later.
Although SpaceX’s valuation is as high as $1.75 trillion, the IPO involves a large amount of time for regulatory review, financial disclosures, and market communication. Musk has always been cautious about going public and has delayed it multiple times before. This “June 12” this time is more of a market rumor; there has been no clear timetable officially provid
SPACEX1.54%
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SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
August 31
1.01x
99%
December 31
1.01x
99%
$46.64K Vol+6 more
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#Gate广场披萨节 #GateSquarePizzaDay #BTC #Gate
The two pizzas from 14 years ago exchanged for 10,000 BTC, becoming the most classic regret in the crypto world.
But to me, it’s more like a starting point, a reminder of BTC’s journey from nothing to something.
Every bit of perseverance today is a response to our original faith.
BTC0.04%
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#加密市场下跌15万人爆仓
Let’s talk about this market “raid” pullback. I think this is actually a chance to lay out positions in batches—there are “golden pits” hidden inside panic-driven selloffs.

This time, BTC fell below $77,000, ETH lost the $2,200 level, and 150,000 traders were liquidated across the entire network. It looks scary, but fundamentally this is still a normal technical pullback, compounded by geopolitical risks that amplify panic. Even though the situation between the U.S. and Israel is tense, it’s hard for it to turn into a full-scale conflict in the short term. The market impact wi
BTC0.04%
ETH-0.42%
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#Polymarket每日热点
Let's talk about my view on gold prices in May. I think this decline is not just a simple correction; it is highly likely to continue downward this month, making it difficult to hold the $4,500 level.
Gold dropped 1% intraday, falling below $4,500. This is not only due to short-term profit-taking but also more importantly because market expectations of Fed rate cuts have significantly cooled down. The rebound in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields directly suppresses gold's upward potential. Moreover, after a large rally earlier, the market has accumulated a lot of profit-tak
GLDX-1.74%
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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?
↓ $4,100
No
↑ $4,800
No
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#Polymarket每日热点
Let's talk about my view on Nvidia's stock price. I believe its upward trend is not over yet, and it is highly likely to continue reaching new highs before May 2026.
Currently, Nvidia's stock price has risen to $227, with a market capitalization surpassing 5.5 trillion. Many people think the valuation is too high, but I believe the AI story is only halfway told. The global demand for AI computing power is still exploding, and Nvidia's H series orders are booked into the next year. This supply and demand imbalance shows no signs of easing in the short term. Moreover, its ecosys
NVDA-0.68%
NVDAX-0.22%
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What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?
↑ $224
1.28x
78%
↓ $176
No
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#Polymarket每日热点
Today, let's just watch ETH continue to fluctuate, within the range of $2,200 to $2,300. For now, don't think about a one-sided breakout.
Currently, the overall market doesn't have strong catalysts, and ETH's buy and sell orders are concentrated within the current range. Resistance at 2300 is high, and support at 2200 is solid. Most likely, it will just move back and forth. In terms of trading, it's safer to buy low and sell high within the range, and avoid chasing rallies or panic selling.
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Ethereum above ___ on May 13?
2,900
No
2,400
No
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#Polymarket每日热点
Honestly, I don't believe this rumor about James retiring this time.
The Lakers getting swept and then saying he's going to retire? That's just stirring the pot.
Old LeBron is who he is; he treats any unannounced news as a rumor.
And everyone knows how deep his obsession is with playing on the same court as his son; he won't retire until that's done.
I'm betting on "not retiring," let's see him run on the court next season!
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Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Yes 12%
No 92%
$3.06K Vol
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#Gate预测市场升级体验
Just updated the Gate App to version 8.18.5, and immediately got to experience the newly upgraded Polymarket prediction market—the experience is absolutely top-notch!
The upgrades include several features that truly understand users. There’s built-in AI automatic translation, so you no longer need to keep switching back and forth between translation apps when following overseas trending events. With one-click tracking of the big players’ positions, even beginners can quickly reference solid trading logic. The interface interactions are much smoother, order responses are ultra-fa
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#Polymarket百U战神挑战
Polymarket Hundred U War God Challenge: How Beginners Can Steadily Outperform the Top 3

Hello everyone. I am a newcomer to the crypto space, only starting to get involved with Polymarket at the end of 2025. On May 11th, I saw the official launch of the Hundred U War God Challenge by Gate Plaza, and I immediately signed up. The platform directly distributed one hundred USDT for free, allowing zero-cost experience in prediction markets. For newcomers wanting to practice and learn for free, it’s really very suitable.

Many experienced players and large funds are competing fo
BTC0.04%
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#山寨币资金回流
I believe this round of rebound is not a short-term oversold correction, but a signal that the altcoin season is beginning.
1. Market liquidity: BTC has returned to 81k, ETH is approaching 2,400, market risk appetite has clearly increased, and funds are starting to flow out of large-cap coins into more elastic small- and mid-cap sectors;
2. Sector preference: Preferably focus on PayFi and AI Agent directions, with the former being the leading trend in this round of gains, and the latter being a long-term narrative with strong fundamentals and clear implementation expectations, offeri
BTC0.04%
ETH-0.42%
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#Polymarket每日热点
Regarding the prediction of the Hantavirus pandemic in 2026, my judgment is: a global pandemic will not occur.
Core logic: Hantavirus primarily infects rodents, with very low human-to-human transmission efficiency, and the current public health prevention and control system is sufficient to handle localized outbreaks of this natural zoonotic disease, making a global pandemic unlikely.
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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes 5.6%
No 95%
$57.62K Vol
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I want to give my mom a bouquet of flowers plus a red envelope, wishing her a Happy Mother's Day, always healthy and happy! @振东q008260 @K线数字密码 @币圈一大n次方
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Gate广场_Official
💌 Mother’s Day Confession: Love in the moment, gifts in the square!
This Mother’s Day, what small surprise would you like to prepare for your mom?
Your gift, sponsored by the square!
🎁 Draw 5 lucky friends, each receives 5 tokens
✅ Quick participation:
1️⃣ Follow @GateSquare_Official
2️⃣ Like, share, and tag 3 friends
3️⃣ Reply in the comment section: The gift you want to give your mom
⌛ Deadline: May 12th, 12:00 PM (UTC+8)
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#Polymarket每日热点
Sharing my prediction on Polymarket for the 2026 World Cup champion—this time I directly backed France.
From the current market probabilities, France’s 16% win rate has already surpassed Spain and England, putting them in first place. While Spain’s odds are also far from low, France’s squad depth and consistency in major tournaments are the aspects I’ve always been more confident in. The big-game experience of key players like Mbappé and Griezmann, along with the rise of the younger generation, means their overall strength really is top-tier. Plus, France has never been short
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#CLARITY法案推进受阻
I think the resistance to this bill is bigger than everyone expects right now, and whether it can successfully break through is really hard to say. The opposition from the banking industry alliance is not just for show; the “member rewards” provisions in the bill do in fact touch the core interests of banks. Once these are loosened, even if stablecoins cannot pay interest, they can still attract deposits indirectly through activities, cashback, and similar means, which is a significant blow for small and mid-sized banks. While the two parties have reached a compromise text, thi
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#Polymarket每日热点
Choose C $80,000. The current market sentiment is cautious, with institutional buying and profit-taking balancing each other out. In the short term, there is a higher probability of oscillating and stabilizing around $80,000, without a sharp surge.
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#比特币站稳8万关口
Who understands! I just saw Bitcoin hit 80k, and then oil prices surged again, confusing the market... When will the US-Iran tug-of-war finally end? It seems that for Bitcoin to stay above 80k, it still depends on whether oil prices give it face. Do you think in this high volatility, is it better to hold a small position and relax or to buy in batches on dips for more stability?
BTC0.04%
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