FreeSpark

vip
Age 6.5 Year
Peak Tier 5
Macro + Trends + Stop Loss. Record real trading thoughts, not recommended for calling trades. Focus on Federal Reserve interest rates, tariff policies, and ETF flows.
Bitcoin’s biggest believer has caved — Strategy sells 3,588 BTC at a 20% loss
Michael Saylor's “never sell” pledge hasn't even gone cold yet.
Strategy just disclosed: from June 29 to July 5, it sold a total of 3,588 BTC, cashing out $216 million. The problem — average selling price $60,200, cost basis $75,476, a 20% loss worth $55 million.
From “only buy, never sell” in 2020 to “institutionalized reduction” in 2026, from an initial trial of 32 BTC to now dumping 3,588 in one go. The official explanation is “paying preferred stock dividends,” but in plain English: interest payments can't
BTC1.72%
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Trump earned $2.2 billion in one year, $1.4 billion from cryptocurrency
The U.S. Office of Government Ethics released a 927-page document.
Trump's 2025 personal income: $2.2 billion. What does that mean? If he took the presidential salary of $400k, he would have to work for 5,500 years.
Where did the money come from? $1.4 billion (64%) came from cryptocurrency—$635 million from $TRUMP meme coin licensing fees, $527 million from WLFI token sales, and another $263 million from selling WLFI equity. $575 million came from real estate. Plus $80 million in stock investments and $68 million in
TRUMP-0.30%
WLFI-0.05%
MELANIA0.65%
BTC1.72%
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US stock market major rotation — AI chip stocks crash, crypto stocks instead rise
Last night, the US stock market staged a magical drama.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunged 5.44%, with all 30 components closing lower.
SanDisk -14%, Teradyne -13%, Lam Research -10%.
Memory, optical communication, and AI chips all collapsed.
The trigger? Mark Zuckerberg personally admitted: AI Agent development "did not accelerate as expected".
Meta fell nearly 5%, with capital expenditure of $125-145 billion this year, and the monetization path is unclear.
The most magical part: the Dow Jones hit an a
SNDK7.45%
TER3.21%
META4.68%
MCD-0.66%
JNJ-1.61%
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GateUser-b4addc72:
Just go for it 👊
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Yesterday $57,742 — 21-month low.
Today directly back to $61,000, up 4.22% intraday.
U.S. crypto stocks collectively surged: Conglian Group +19%, Strategy +8%, Coinbase +7%.
But don't rush to call the bottom. June dropped 19% for the entire month, the worst June since the 2022 bear market. ETF cumulative net outflows exceeded $5.1 billion, BlackRock's IBIT broke a record with over $3 billion in a single month. The probability of a Fed rate hike in July is still 30%.
Tonight's non-farm payrolls are the key catalyst — strong data → rate hike → sell-off again; weak data → rate cut expectations →
COIN-0.57%
BTC1.72%
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Bitcoin dropped from $126k to $60k, halved.
From the October high to now, the pullback exceeds 50%.
Four lines tightening simultaneously:
1. US stock risk appetite declines (tech stocks dragging down)
2. Macro + geopolitical pressure (Fed hawkish + US-Iran conflict)
3. ETF funds continue to flow out (net outflow of nearly $3 billion in June)
4. Strategy leverage model under pressure (STRC below par, "Saylor bid"失效)
What's more painful: Strategy reduced BTC holdings for the first time, breaking the "only buy, never sell" belief narrative.
Analysts say: This is a "turbulent downward period," wit
BTC1.72%
STRC-0.56%
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Historic moment: USDT's market cap surpasses ETH for the first time.
Think about it — a stablecoin now has a higher market cap than the former "king of smart contracts."
ETH has dropped below $1,500, down 68% in a year, back to October 2023 levels.
And USDT? A stablecoin that lives by "not rising, not falling" has become the second most valuable asset in the crypto market.
What kind of surreal story is this? The "world computer" loses to a digital IOU.
Do you think ETH can make a comeback?
#ETH #USDT #Cryptocurrency
ETH0.37%
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Ethereum Foundation cuts staff by 20%, slashes budget by 40%.
Vitalik himself said: "I won't pretend the loss is small; they are all brilliant people."
But then he pivoted: "In the long term, I lean towards a 'lean and mean' strategy for Ethereum."
Translation: No money left, so we have to downsize.
The once "world computer" can barely afford to support its own home now.
ETH has fallen 68% from its peak last year, and stablecoin market caps are about to surpass it.
For the foundation to cut staff now, is it a decisive move, or is the ship too big to turn?
#ETH #Ethereum
ETH0.37%
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ETH drops below $1,593, hitting a new low in over a year
Ethereum drops to $1,593, hitting the lowest level since 2024. A year ago ETH was at $2,400+. Down 34% in a year. What's more heartbreaking: ETH's decline this year (-34%) is even larger than BTC's (-32%).
The 'digital oil' narrative couldn't hold up. Why?
1. L2s diverted mainnet transaction volume and gas fees
2. The staking yield on revenue is less attractive to institutions than expected
3. Capital shifted to AI and RWA tracks
ETH has gone from 'the oil of the blockchain world' to 'an old platform that needs to prove it's still useful
ETH0.37%
BTC1.72%
RWA-0.08%
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BTC and U.S. stocks’ “tear-apart” move is the most dangerous signal
In the past few years, BTC and U.S. stocks have basically risen and fallen together. But this year, a strange phenomenon has emerged: U.S. stocks are going up while BTC is going down. U.S. stocks: the Dow hits new highs; AI tech stocks have pulled back, but the overall trend is still upward.
BTC: down 32% this year, from $126K to $59K—what does this “tear-apart” mean? → Crypto is being priced independently and no longer “riding along” with U.S. stocks → The market has no confidence in crypto’s “independent narrative” → Cap
BTC1.72%
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Bitcoin ETF Net Outflows Nearly $3 Billion in June, Institutions Retreating
So far in June, U.S. spot BTC ETFs have seen net outflows of nearly $3 billion.
Even BlackRock’s IBIT is experiencing outflows.
ETFs have been the most important channel for institutional capital to enter crypto in recent years. Continued outflows mean:
Short-term new buying power is drying up
Institutions are in a wait-and-see mode
No “bag holders”
But on the other hand:
Overall ETF holdings are still at historically high levels, with long-term funds not retreating en masse.
The key point to watch: t
BTC1.72%
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Retail investors are abandoning crypto and chasing AI instead
An unsettling set of data: BTC is down 32% this year, SOL is down 47%, and ETH is down 34%.
Meanwhile, U.S. stocks keep setting new all-time highs.
Cailianshe reports: Retail investors are exiting on a wider scale—many have redirected their attention and capital to AI concept stocks.
Hashdex’s Head of Global Market Insights, Gerry O'Shea, said verbatim: “With high-profile IPOs and artificial intelligence stocks taking center stage, market sentiment remains weak.” Translation: Your money wasn’t “eaten” by crypto—you went chas
BTC1.72%
SOL0.48%
ETH0.37%
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Strategy has been hit with a class action lawsuit
Rosen Law Firm has formally launched a class action investigation into Strategy. Reason: Bitcoin Treasury Strategy + poor performance of related securities (MSTR, STRC). Translation: retail investors lost money, lawyers are here.
Strategy holds 847k BTC at an average price of $64,200. BTC is now at $59,000, with an unrealized loss of over $4 billion. Its stock price has also fallen significantly from its highs. Saylor’s faith is not the issue. But using a listed company to leverage Bitcoin, financing with preferred stock, and letting retail
BTC1.72%
MSTR0.04%
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BTC Breaks Below 200-Week Moving Average – Long-Term Bear Signal or Final Panic?
A technical signal has many people panicking: BTC has broken below the 200-week moving average.
In technical analysis, the 200-week moving average is known as the "ultimate bull-bear boundary."
Breaking below it is usually considered a sign of a long-term bear market.
But let’s flip the perspective:
1. The last time BTC broke below the 200-week moving average was at the end of 2022, after which it rallied 300%.
2. The current RSI is already in oversold territory.
3. Options expire tomorrow + end of q
BTC1.72%
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Strategy: Always only buy, never sell, until the market asks you "Can you still buy?"】
Strategy holds 847,363 BTC.
In the past bull market, this was called "faith."
Now BTC has dropped to $61K, and investors are starting to ask a very realistic question: Can you still fulfill your financial obligations? Since June, US-listed BTC funds have seen net outflows of nearly $3 billion.
Strategy faces not just the drop in coin price, but also narrowing financing channels — the STRC preferred stock used to issue shares to buy coins has fallen to $82. "Always only buy, never sell" is a hero when the mar
BTC1.72%
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Three major central banks worldwide are simultaneously hawkish, and liquidity is tightening across the board.
Within one week: Fed: Market expects three rate hikes this year (BofA/Deutsche Bank forecasts); ECB: Executive Board member Schnabel publicly says "rate hikes need to continue"; BOJ: Interest rate raised to 1%, the highest since 1995. The three major economies are simultaneously tightening liquidity. What does this mean? → US dollar strengthens → Risk assets under pressure (BTC, ETH, SOL all falling) → Bond yields rise → Opportunity cost of holding BTC increases → Leveraged financing b
BTC1.72%
ETH0.37%
SOL0.48%
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Tomorrow, $10 billion BTC options expire, most are already worthless
Tomorrow (June 26), approximately $10 billion in BTC options expire on the Deribit platform, accounting for 37% of open interest.
The problem is: these options are mostly bullish bets, and BTC has been falling.
Most call options are now "out of the money"—no intrinsic value at the current price.
Deribit's Chief Commercial Officer's original words: "This was a book positioned for higher prices in the mid-term, now facing the reality of a price decline." Translation: A bunch of people spent big money betting BTC would r
BTC1.68%
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$59,000, a 20-month low
BTC once fell to $59,000 today.
From the ATH of $126K to this price, it's not just a halving—it's a knee cut.
170k people were liquidated, nearly $1 billion evaporated.
ETH fell to $1,555, lying flat together with BTC.
It's not just one bearish factor hitting you—it's all the bearish factors hitting you at once: rate hike expectations, options expiration, ETF capital outflows, Strategy being questioned... Someone is asking, "Where's the bottom?"
My answer is: when everyone is asking the same question, it's usually not there yet.
#BTC #Bitcoin #爆仓 #Bear Market
BTC1.68%
ETH0.37%
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US "Clarity Act" Two-Week Countdown, Banking Industry Gets Nervous
The next two weeks are a critical window for congressional voting on the US "Clarity Act."
This bill aims to clarify "who regulates crypto" — the SEC or the CFTC.
But the banking industry has come out against it, saying the current version has a regulatory loophole: it allows crypto companies to offer economic incentives without anti-money laundering safeguards.
Bipartisan lawmakers can't agree, and the time window is narrowing.
If it doesn't pass in these two weeks, the probability of passing later will drop signific
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