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#USOIL update. If we have printed a low at 79, then as mentioned in prior posts, the upside to 150-165 remains open. #OOTT #OIL $US.O $USO #OIL #IranWar‌
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#ASX200 update. Here is the alt scenario, swan harmonic ext of 1.382 achieved, sell off into ~50% of the range, meaning we sweep the Mar '26 lows, before the last hurrah. Per my pinned post on $NDX - the stage of the cycle where things make less sense. $XJO $STW.AX #ASX
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Here comes that move into a swing low. $NDX
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$GDX update. The idea mapped on the chart shows that we might have printed a low and currently back-testing it, before moving higher to 120-140. Guideline of alternation could apply - corrective wave 2 was deep and elongated, wave 4 so far is shallower and abbreviated. #GOLD
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#ASX200 update. Clearly underperforming the #US indices, however, should the low hold, and preferably, should the market find support at around mid 8500s, then there is a case to be made for continuation higher. The chart below is $STW.AX (#ASX200 ETF). $XJO #ASX
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$XRP update. So far going to plan, could get one more washout to 55-65, which I think creates the real positioning opportunity. #crypto
XRP0.29%
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#ASX200 update. Correction to my previous analysis performed based on SPDR ETF. My view is the low is in - an irregular ABC which ended at exactly 1.236 ext. We now have imo continuation of the original trend. 15% upside from current levels, at a minimum. $XJO #ASX
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$NDX update. The chart continues to look constructive for further upside. Short-term there is a lot of imbalance in the chart - many gaps, which could get filled. In my opinion, that presents opportunity for long entries. Mania is ahead imo, and history tells us it gets very
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If things play out as suggested in my last few posts, the conditions established could be the fuel #equities and #metals need for one last hurrah. #MACRO #GOLD #SILVER $SPX $NDX
SPX-2.91%
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Effective fed liquidity (net liquidity) curling up. How does that famous proverb go? #macro
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Bond volatility has collapsed as measured by the $MOVE index. This is conducive for more liquid conditions in financial markets. #macro #bonds #fixedincome
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$DXY update. There is a case to be made for continued weakness in the #USD. 91s is the next target, should we get follow through below 95.5. The points of confluence outlined on chart. Should this occur, I can see $AUDUSD heading to ~76 $EURUSD $USDJPY $GBPUSD
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$CL - #crudeoil update. We have hit the target range of mid 70s - low 80s. The other area of interest outlined on the chart (~55-60). Longer-term the upside is open, but the weight of evidence points to a short-medium term moderation in #oil #energy #OOTT #IranWar‌ #macro
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#US10Y update (log chart). If #oil cools towards 55-60, whilst the job market is on tender hooks (recent headline, one of many such headlines, $META announcing 10% layoffs). I think there is a good chance of some temporary relief in rates. The US10Y showing 2.8-3% possible,
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#Bitcoin update. Long to ~83.5k-87k. Current price 75k. $BTCUSD $BTC
BTC0.66%
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$SPX update. Next target area is 7550-7650. We could get a serious inflection point there, but the big picture suggests the targets remain open to the upside. Current price 7030. $SPY #US500
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$RUT ~2890-2950 target. Current price 2710. $RTY $IWM #RUSSELL2000
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