OldMerchantGoodLuck

From the recent trend, after a rapid decline in the early stage, DOGE completed a round of bottoming and repair at a low level. Currently, the market shows clear signs of stabilization and rebound, with short-term funds starting to return, and the moving average system gradually shifting from a bearish arrangement to a recovery phase.
Based on the K-line structure, DOGE has now reclaimed the short-term moving averages, with the price operating center continuously rising, and short-term bullish momentum is strengthening. However, there is still a key resistance area above that requires attentio

Let's talk about essential market structure knowledge for trading. This episode focuses on a complete analysis of downtrends.
Previous highs are natural resistance levels. Every rebound to these points will face pressure and pull back. Bearish engulfing candlesticks are early warning signals of bearish momentum.
After an original support level is broken, it directly turns into resistance, clearly reflecting the shifts in long-short battles within the market. Mastering these core nodes allows you to clearly anticipate the rhythm of a downtrend and plan your responses in advance.
Remember that t

Reducing 3,588 BTC: Is Strategy taking profits or optimizing its assets?
Whenever Strategy makes any move related to Bitcoin, the market starts a round of discussion. This reduction of 3,588 BTC has once again become the focus of investor attention.
Some people's first reaction is: "Even the die-hard bulls are starting to sell—does that mean the rally is over?" In reality, such a conclusion is far too simplistic.
Large institutions manage their assets in a fundamentally different way from ordinary investors. They need to balance financing costs, cash flow arrangements, debt structures, financi

Ethereum has been experiencing a continuous contraction in volume alongside a steady rise over the past hour. The MACD fast and slow lines, as well as the volume bars, are forming a **top bearish divergence**. On the 4-hour chart, a death cross has occurred at a high level. Major indicators have also released high-level signals in advance. Trading volume has not yet shown a surge alongside a decline. In the short term, the prior trend of range-bound upward movement will likely continue. In the broader markets, today’s intraday movement is biased toward mild, sideways fluctuations, with no clea

In 2021, I was very bullish on ETH. The market atmosphere at that time influenced me. I remember Mr. Jiang even said that Ethereum would surpass Bitcoin soon.
Forgive myself for the ignorance back then.

$BTC ‌
President Trump's financial disclosure reveals holdings of over $100 million in Bitcoin and Ethereum
The digital asset industry has reached another historic milestone. The latest U.S. federal financial disclosure shows that President Donald Trump holds over $100 million in cryptocurrency assets, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) being the primary components of the disclosed portfolio. The document makes one of the world's most influential political leaders one of the most prominent public holders of large digital assets, while highlighting how cryptocurrencies are increasingly inte

Both the President and Vice President of the United States hold significant amounts of Bitcoin! Are you trying to harvest the President?!
Trump discloses holding over $100 million in BTC and ETH, with income exceeding $1.4 billion in the 2025 filing period
Bitcoin News posted on X platform, stating that Trump disclosed in his latest financial filing that he holds over $100 million worth of BTC and ETH, and reported income exceeding $1.4 billion for the 2025 filing period. The document shows that Trump earned over $500 million from the crypto project World Liberty Financial, co-founded with his

📢 Gate Square Daily | June 29
1️⃣ Geopolitics:
US media says the US and Iran have agreed to stop attacking each other, and both sides plan to meet in Doha this week to discuss disputes related to the Strait of Hormuz.
2️⃣ Market Update:
BTC is at $59,641, down 0.5% in 24 hours; ETH is at $1,574, up 0.2% in 24 hours.
3️⃣ TradFi Update:
South Korea's KOSPI index expanded its decline to 3%, with Samsung Electronics falling over 5%.
4️⃣ AI Industry:
OpenAI released GPT-5.6, currently only available to Codex and API trusted partners.
5️⃣ This Week's Focus:
On Wednesday, four central bank governors

6.29 Bitcoin Trend Analysis: Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a wide-range B-wave oscillation, and the C-wave rebound structure has not yet been completed. Long positions continue to be held in anticipation of a rise. Altcoins NEAR and XLM are entering the observation range (Bitcoin Futures Trading).

BTC repeatedly oscillates around the $60k mark, ETH V-reversed to $1,575, SOL bucked the trend to lead gains with 7%. Fear index at 15, extreme fear.
📰 Macroeconomics and Geopolitics
After the signing of the tripartite framework agreement among Lebanon, Israel, and the U.S., the Israeli military still attacked southern Lebanon, escalating geopolitical risk aversion. The Fed's hawkish rate hike expectations weigh on the market, with capital flowing to defensive sectors.
💸 Capital Movements
U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen consecutive net outflows, with monthly outflows hitting a record high.

📈 Market fluctuations, but opportunities remain.
This weekend, trade $BTC perpetual contracts to earn extra rewards!
1️⃣ Share a 10,000 USDT prize pool
2️⃣ Cumulative trading volume ≥ 5,000 USDT, claim 10 USDT
3️⃣ Cumulative trading volume ≥ 20,000 USDT, get another 10 USDT
⏰ June 26 – June 29
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More details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/100357

1. Macro Background (Determines Medium-Term Trends)

1. Fed Hawkish Expectations Strike Again (Core Bearish)
The June FOMC meeting dot plot significantly raised the terminal rate, with the market pricing a 77% probability of another rate hike within 2026, pushing rate cut expectations directly to 2027.
U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar strengthened, with the high-interest-rate environment continuing to suppress risk asset valuations. Bitcoin and Ethereum, as high-leverage growth assets, face far greater pressure than gold.
2. Institutional Funds Continue to Flow Out, New Inflows Dried Up
U.

Gate Square Red Envelope Rain is still pouring wildly, post now to claim!
Newcomers' first post has a 100% chance to win, including ETH, GT, coupons, and more!
💰 What's the most cost-effective way to claim?
1️⃣ First release guaranteed: Publish your maiden post in the square, and the red envelope will be directly credited!
2️⃣ Posting bonus: Share your World Cup predictions, the more posts, the bigger the red envelopes!
3️⃣ Leaderboard: Top 100 will receive prizes, Gate World Cup gift boxes are waiting for you!
Go ahead and post your first message now 👉 https://www.gate.com/post
🗓 Event

Iran responds strongly, is Trump scared? Long positions are back again! 6.22 Bitcoin Auntie Strategy
June 21 News, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi stated in a video broadcasted by Iranian media that Iran will never give up its right to uranium enrichment, and the U.S. will eventually be forced to accept this. Raisi said that the attitude of the U.S. president has done a 180-degree turn; earlier, he said Iran must surrender unconditionally, with no rights, and then he said Iran has rights, with a complete reversal of stance. This shows that Trump has admitted that the U.S. cannot ignore Iran’

Gate Square Red Envelope Rain is still pouring wildly, post now to claim!
Newcomers' first post has a 100% chance to win, including ETH, GT, coupons, and more!
💰 What's the most cost-effective way to claim?
1️⃣ First post guaranteed: Publish your debut in the square, and the red envelope will be directly credited!
2️⃣ Posting bonus: Share your World Cup predictions, the more posts, the bigger the red envelopes!
3️⃣ Leaderboard: Top 100 will receive prizes, Gate World Cup gift boxes are waiting for you!
Go ahead and post your first message now 👉 https://www.gate.com/post
🗓 The event runs

June 19 BTC/ETH Market Morning Report—Good News Turns into Bad News, Rebound Is an Excellent Opportunity to Short
Today is Dragon Boat Festival. Wishing everyone a peaceful Dragon Boat Festival. This week, Bitcoin dropped from highs of 66,800 and 66,900 to the current price around 66,300, and Ethereum from 1,820 and 1,830 down to 1,795. Yesterday’s lows reached around 62,200 and 1,670, perfectly hitting profit-taking targets. Those who need to reduce their positions should do so now. Remaining small positions can continue to hold and seek larger profit opportunities! The intraday strategy rema

Gao Zhikai says an economic crisis will erupt within the next 12-18 months.
But I feel like it’s already happened long ago—every industry is so bleak, no one is spending anymore.
How frugal has everyone become this year?
Tell me, anyway no one knows anyone #预测世界杯加拿大VS卡塔尔

SPCX (SpaceX) suddenly plummeted on June 17th, Fed decision day, with four layers of logic resonating together. The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve is the core trigger, broken down as follows:

1. Core Trigger: The Fed shifts to a hawkish stance, causing the overestimated forward stock valuation models to collapse
1. Valuation logic: SPCX is almost priced based on 5-10 year forward cash flows. Starship, space computing power, and Mars plans are all future realizations. In the DCF valuation formula, the discount rate = U.S. Treasury risk-free rate. The Fed raising interest rate expec

SPCX short sellers need to be cautious. Compared to other stocks with a trillion-dollar market cap and high liquidity (over 95%), SPCX initially had an IPO circulation of 555.6 million shares (about 4.3% of the total shares). Although the current market value has reached 2.5 trillion, 95.7% is locked up, with 85.1% locked by Musk and major investors for one year. The remaining shares will be released gradually after the Q2 financial report. At the current price, the circulating market value is only over 25k.

June 15 Cryptocurrency Market Analysis
【U.S. Stocks】
Yesterday was a market holiday; today we wait for the U.S. stock response. The weekend was relatively calm. Federal Reserve Chair Powell continues to serve as interim chair.
【Bottom-Fishing Trilogy】Bottom oscillation waiting for a false breakdown
Conclusion【Oscillating Rest】
Strategy: ✅ Coin price repeatedly oscillates ✅
1️⃣ Major Market 【BTC ETH】 Current key support levels:
【BTC】 Short
Open position: Bottom position around 65,000. Add to position at 66,700
Stop loss: 67,000 (wait for 66,700 to open again)
Take profit: 60