币圈掘金人

Long-and-Short Tug-of-War Enters the Decisive Stage: July 17 Bitcoin Evening Market Deep Replay and Trading Strategy
On July 17, the crypto market saw violent fluctuations amid expectations for macro policy and battles over liquidity. After Bitcoin spiked up and then pulled back, it stabilized around $63,800. This article combines the latest macro data, the progress of regulatory bills, and on-chain capital flow trends to deeply analyze the current market’s long/short logic, and provides ideas for short-term trading in the evening.
The crypto market on July 17 once again validated the trading

BTC Evening In-Depth Analysis: Amid High-Level Pullback Repair, $63,800 Becomes the Swing Point for Bulls and Bears
On the evening of July 16, 2026, Bitcoin was trading sideways around $64,000. After previously rebounding strongly from the $61,806 low to the $65,589 high, it then faced selling pressure and pulled back. The market is currently in the repair phase following the record net outflows from June ETFs. ETF funds resumed net inflows in mid-July, with BlackRock contributing roughly $86.8 million in a single day. On the technical side, short-term bullish momentum is fading, but the large

ETH falls below $1,900: a market standoff between technical structure collapse and on-chain fund outflows
In mid-July 2026, the price of Ethereum (ETH) broke below the key psychological level of $1,900, reaching the lowest area since 2022. Combining the latest market quotes, on-chain data, and technical indicators, this article provides an in-depth analysis of the technical structure ETH is currently in, capital flow directions, and the macro environment, and proposes a transaction strategy framework with practical value. The market is currently in a pattern of “bear dominance and weak rebound

“Strait of Hormuz Toll Gate”: A geopolitical absurd drama that flips from “violating international law” to “I’ll charge 20%”
On July 13, 2026, Trump suddenly announced that the United States would become the “guardian of the Strait of Hormuz,” charging a 20% fee on all goods transported through it, while also restarting the maritime blockade of Iran. The decision sharply contrasted with his government’s position from a month earlier—on June 24, U.S. Secretary of State Rubio had solemnly claimed that Iran’s “toll” was “a violation of international law.” Although the “toll farce” lasted less tha

Decreasing Bullish Candle Length: BTC’s “Exhaustion” Signal After a Three-Stage Bounce and the Intra-Day Short Logic
Current BTC is hovering around $64,600. From the order-book structure, the recent rebound shows a clear “three-stage momentum decay” pattern—each upswing’s bullish candle length and strength are declining, until the bulls’ momentum runs out after the morning push toward the $65,000 level. Coupled with ETH’s repeated back-and-forth experience in the $1,860-$1,880 range, and the macro backdrop of ongoing ETF outflows and bearish moving-average alignment, looking for downside intra

7.14 Crypto Midday Report: Is this a “last stand” rebound—or the final drop?—Cold reflections at the intersection of institutional divergence and macro data
On the July 14, 2026 midday session, Bitcoin’s daily candle closed at $62,588, while Ethereum closed at $1,776—both trapped in the toughest downward channel since 2026. However, in sharp contrast to the weakness in price, the divergence among Wall Street institutions is intensifying: Standard Chartered views a break below $60,000 as a “buying opportunity” and keeps its $100k year-end target, while Bernstein even raised it to $150k; but on

Bitcoin Trades Sideways at the $62,000 Mark, Building Steam: A Bulls vs. Bears Standoff Amid ETF Inflows and Escalating Geopolitical Tensions
In mid-July 2026, Bitcoin has been locked in a fierce tug-of-war within the $62,000–$64,000 range. On one hand, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have ended a net outflow streak lasting more than ten days: within three days, they recorded $510 million in fund inflows, while BlackRock’s IBIT saw a single-day inflow of $209 million—an unmistakable signal of institutional return. On the other hand, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) was forced to sell $216 million worth

When “Scarcity Dividend” Meets “Long-Term Contract Smoothing”: Reconsidering Crypto Asset Allocation in the AI Infrastructure Cycle
In July 2026, Korea Investment & Securities (KIS) cut its forward earnings forecast for SK hynix, alongside a market phenomenon of periodic outflows from spot Bitcoin ETF funds. Together, they point to a core proposition that has been overlooked: the AI infrastructure supercycle has not ended, but the way “scarcity premium” gets realized is undergoing a structural shift. Starting with HBM long-term contract pricing mechanisms, this article examines the evolution o

Bitcoin is ranging and grinding out a bottom; Ethereum sees both sides punished: an in-depth crypto market breakdown for the evening of July 12
On the evening of July 12, 2026, Bitcoin continued its choppy downward move near the $64,000 level. After falling from the intraday high of $64,405 to $63,605, it is currently hovering around $63,800. Ethereum, however, shows a more complex structure—there is a short resistance zone at $1,815–$1,835, and at the same time there is a long-snipe opportunity in the $1,778–$1,785 area. This article combines the latest ETF flow data, on-chain data, and techn

July 12 Bitcoin and Ethereum Deep Analysis: The Bearish Setup and Key-Level Tug-of-War Under an ETF Outflow Wave
In the early morning of July 12, 2026, Bitcoin slid in a stepwise manner from $64,439 down to $63,788, while Ethereum weakened in sync. Against the macro backdrop of a record $4.06 billion net outflow from Bitcoin spot ETFs in June, the two coins’ trading rhythms are highly unified, with daily session highs continuing to move lower. Drawing on the latest views from institutions such as Standard Chartered Bank and Bernstein, this article analyzes the current market structure from bot

The Crypto Market Under the Hormuz Strait Crisis: Geopolitical De-sensitization and a Bottom-Fighting Battle
In July 2026, tensions between the US and Iran over the Hormuz Strait escalated again. The US issued a final ultimatum demanding Iran stop attacks on merchant ships. However, compared with the first clash four months earlier—when Bitcoin plunged nearly 10% in two days—the reaction now is strikingly different. The current BTC price is holding steady around $64,000, with very small intraday swings. Drawing on the latest on-chain data, ETF fund flows, and expectations for Federal Reserve p

July 11 Midday Deep Dive: BTC stalls at high levels, ETH rebound loses steam—short-term correction window is opening
As of the midday of July 11, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $64,184, while Ethereum (ETH) is at $1,769. Since BTC bounced off the $58,559 low at the start of July, its cumulative gain is nearly 10%. However, after repeatedly pushing to new highs, its advance pace has clearly slowed; above the $64,000 level, it has been blocked multiple times. Over the same period, ETH rebounded from $1,570 to around $1,780, but the $1,810 resistance has been visibly suppressing price. From a