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Yesterday, “Er Bing” 1925 publicly shared his trading thoughts at the top. Er Bing’s current price is 1850—congratulations to the brothers with execution maxed out for taking down 75 points of upside space!
Many people see ETH rise strongly and start chasing the rally.
But being strong doesn’t mean there’s no risk.
Because what I’m watching isn’t just a single bullish candle, but an entire structure.
The easiest time for the market to make people commit mistakes is during continuous upward moves, when everyone forgets about risk.
Trading isn’t a contest of boldness.
It’s a test of

Master Ye yesterday openly “topped” the big pancake at 64,900. The current price of the big pancake is 63,500, and the entire process was public.
On the “艮” side, the brothers happened to catch a wave of about 1,500 points’ little waterfall—there’s still a short distance to what I expected.
Many people are still fantasizing about pushing on past 65,000.
But after trading for so many years, I know this truth:
At the position that everyone is expecting most, you must stay on high alert.
From 64,900 falling back to 63,500, the market once again confirmed a pattern:
Rising needs a reas

7.17 ETH around 1880, Qingcang Dou; target 1820/1800. The brothers who didn’t follow when it topped around 1890 yesterday—wait for a small pullback.
If you want to do a “duo,” you can look to buy around 1800; stop at 1760; targets 1820/1900.
ETH yesterday surged to around 1946 and then started to fall. The current price is around 1850.
On the 1H timeframe, after the fast rally pushed through 1800, bullish sentiment was clearly released; but after consolidating at highs, it met pressure and pulled back—short-term is now in a technical correction phase.
Right now, around 1850 is a key support ar

7.17 BTC around 64,200, green candle vibes; target 62,800/62,000. For the brothers who missed the top near 65,000 yesterday, wait for a small pullback.
If you want to do a dip-buy, you can buy around 62,500, stop at 62,000, target 63,500/64,000.
BTC: after yesterday’s push to a high of 65,589, it kept falling and is now around 63,500.
On the 1H timeframe, after range movement at high levels, the price broke below the short moving average; short term is entering a correction phase.
This rally started around 61,800, with the highest reaching the 65,500 area. Bulls released a strong rebound.
But

Will tonight’s unemployment benefits data become a catalyst for the next directional choice for BTC?
Recently, BTC has been trading in a tight range around the key level of 64,000–65,000, with both bulls and bears waiting for a new breakthrough.
Tonight, the U.S. initial jobless claims data will be released. The market’s focus is not on the numbers themselves, but on how they affect the Federal Reserve’s subsequent policy timing.
Previously, U.S. initial claims stayed at relatively low levels, and the labor market still showed some resilience.
If tonight’s data comes in higher than expected, i

Tonight’s unemployment benefits data—could it become a catalyst for BTC’s next wave in choosing direction?
Recently, BTC has been trading in a range around the key level of 64,000–65,000, with both bulls and bears waiting for a new breakout trigger.
Tonight, U.S. initial jobless claims data will be released. What the market focuses on isn’t the numbers themselves, but how they may affect the Federal Reserve’s subsequent policy pace.
Previously, the U.S. initial claims data stayed at relatively low levels, and the labor market still showed a certain degree of resilience.
If tonight’s data comes

Over the past two days, ETH has been moving very strongly. A lot of brothers are starting to regret it, and many others are bearing pressure after buying at the high end.
Actually, what trading fears most isn’t getting caught.
It’s after you get stuck, not having your own judgment.
If it drops, you’re afraid; if it rises, you chase.
In the end, you’re always being led around by the market.
I’ve been trading for 9 years, and my biggest realization is:
The market can be missed, but the timing can’t be lost.
The market has opportunities every day, but first you need to make sure you can still sta

Why is ETH suddenly stronger than BTC this round? How long can the independent trend last?
Recently, ETH’s performance has indeed been impressive, and the market has also shown a clear change—previously, when BTC moved, alts followed;
now, ETH is starting to move on its own rhythm, and even outperforms BTC in stages.
Why?
In a stronger market, you have to stay clear-headed.
After trading for 9 years, I prefer to look at structure first, then emotion.
From the daily chart, ETH previously retreated from around 2400 all the way down, with the lowest wick around 1500, then it began to rebound.
Cur

7.16 ETH near 1925, target 1900/1870
If you want to do the long, you can enter around 1900 for long, stop at 1870, targets 1935/1960.
Short-term focus:
Upward resistance: 1945-1950
Breakout to watch: 2000
Downward support: 1900
Strong support: 1870
ETH rebounded from the 1748 low all the way. On the 1H timeframe, there have been continuous volume expansion and upward moves. It has currently reached a high around 1946, and the short-term has entered a high-range consolidation phase.
The strength of this upswing is relatively strong. Price has reclaimed the 1900 level, and the mo

7.16 BTC, around 65,000 on the daily chart (green shadow), support at 65,700, targets 64,200/63,000
Yesterday, BTC surged above 65,500 and then began high-level consolidation. Currently, the price has pulled back to around 64,600 for consolidation.
From the 1H structure, after a dip near 61,800 there was a rapid rebound, and the short-term bullish trend has been repaired.
However, after hitting the 65,500 area, there have been consecutive upper wicks, indicating sell pressure still exists above.
At the moment, price is moving within a high-level consolidation range. The short moving averages h

Yesterday’s big bullish candle didn’t spare many brothers who got beaten—don’t panic!
A lot of brothers aren’t that they can’t trade.
It’s just that once they get stuck by a “one-swing trap” (掸子), every step that comes afterward starts to deform.
Averaging into the position (“补舱”), stubbornly holding to the death (“死扛”), heavy-loading (“重舱”), retaliatory trading……
In the end, it’s not the position/trade itself that loses—it’s themselves.
Trading for 9 years.
I’ve found that many “traps” (掸子) are actually not impossible to solve.
It’s just that the way they’re handled is the problem.
When to re

Recently many people have asked me: after Wosch’s consecutive statements, can the “big pie” still continue to rise?
Ye Shifu’s view is very clear: don’t just fixate on one sentence; you need to see how the market interprets it.
Wosch has recently repeatedly emphasized that inflation has not been fully resolved, and the Federal Reserve will still prioritize price stability, while it has not given the market any clear commitments in advance regarding rate cuts or hikes.
In other words, policy still remains data-driven, and every subsequent economic release will affect market expectations.
Many p

Geopolitical risk has added another spark to the market.
According to the latest reports, Chuanzi convened a meeting to discuss expanding the scope of its crackdown on Langzi; the situation in the Middle East flared up again, and the market’s risk-avoidance sentiment clearly rebounded.
Combined with the current BTC trend, Big Pancake is still consolidating near a key resistance-pressure zone, and the bulls-bears disagreement is getting bigger in the short term.
Many people think that once the good news comes out, it will definitely go on a pump, but in real markets, price action often do

7.15 BTC ~64200 near Qingcang duo, target 65500/66200
From the 1-hour BTC chart, after probing the low near 61800 earlier, it quickly rebounded and regained multiple short-term moving averages in succession.
The current price has moved back above 64,000, and the short-term structure has already completed a repair from weak to strong.
On the board, after pushing up and touching around 65,130, there was a slight pullback, but the pullback strength has been limited; the lows keep getting higher, indicating that support and follow-through beneath still exists.
The short moving averages have turned

7.14 “two-biscuit” playbook: keep a light position around 1895; targets 1785/1750
If you want to do “duo,” watch for stabilization around 1750 before buying again; stop-loss 1740; targets 1780/1800.
ETH current price is 1871. On the 1-hour timeframe, it quickly surged early in the morning, topping out around 1896 before falling back under pressure.
Now it has dropped back to the 1870 area; short-term moving averages have started to turn, and the market has entered a high-level consolidation and range-bound整理 phase for the short term.
This rally is more of an emotional release driven by

Today at 20:30 CPI, a storm is about to rise—will you ride the wave to take momentum, or tread the edge of a trap?
Master Ye is positioning things now; there’s still a chance to get on the train. This week is a period driven by the news flow.
Don’t blindly crash around—let Master Ye clear the fog and reveal the truth!
There’s a pattern in the market.
The more one-sided it is, the more cautious I am.
Because the majority’s sentiment is often the opportunity for the main players.
If you’ve traded for a long time, you won’t so easily stand where the most people are.
The most valuable capability i

Tonight at 20:30, the real test for the market is here. Want to know where things go next? Don’t miss it!
The US June CPI is about to be released.
Markets currently broadly expect inflation to keep easing, but what truly moves price action has never been the data itself—it’s always the gap between the data and expectations.
If CPI comes in below expectations, market expectations for further policy easing will heat up even more, and BTC could ride the momentum to challenge overhead resistance.
But if the data strengthens again, expectations for rate cuts will cool down, and profit-taking from h