# 原油小幅上涨

Hedging? What a joke. Gold is falling, Bitcoin is falling, US stock futures are falling, only oil prices are skyrocketing.
The US and Iran negotiations collapsed, Trump said he would block the Strait of Hormuz, and the world's first reaction wasn't rushing into BTC for safety, but selling everything they could, converting to cash, converting to gasoline.
Does that hit hard? That's how reality slaps you in the face.
20 hours of talks, both sides are just about to flip the table.
Islamabad, Pakistan, 20 hours. Think about it—normal people would be exhausted after sitting on a plane for 20 hours,

Today’s Bitcoin Public Outlook (Monday)
1. Core Indicator Signals (BOLL Band + Price Structure)
Currently, on the 15-minute cycle with parameters BOLL(20,2), the middle band MID=70966.8, upper band UPPER=71411.2, lower band LOWER=70522.4, latest price 71126.2, is above the middle band and within the range below the upper band, seeming relatively strong. However, combined with the structure and momentum, the bearish logic is clear:
1. BOLL Band Structure and Momentum Exhaustion
The trend from 13:00 on April 12 to now is a typical "sharp decline → range-bottoming → weak rebound" structure: initi

🚨 The real big market trend has never been driven by rising prices—it’s triggered at the moment when the conflict is “ended.”
Regarding the current situation, I’ll give you a clearer logic:
👉 The end of every war is negotiations
👉 Every negotiation path is from disagreement to consensus
And what the market is truly waiting for isn’t the process—
It’s **“the moment the agreement is implemented.”**
⚡ Why is it critical?
Because that moment often means:
👉 Uncertainty disappears instantly
👉 Risk assets are re-priced
👉 A single emotional-release big bullish candle
Many people think opportunit

4.13 Monday BTC.ETH Latest Thoughts
The Israel-Palestine negotiations have broken down, the risk of geopolitical conflict has warmed up again, and market risk-avoidance sentiment has spread rapidly; overall, it remains bearish.
Driven by the news, international crude oil opened sharply higher, gold opened lower and traded in a range, while overall cryptocurrency volatility is relatively limited; focus on sentiment changes during the Asia and Europe sessions.
After Big Cake experienced repeated dips one after another on Saturday, it is still consolidating below 72,000; this level is the resista

【$AVAX Signal】Weak rebound, bear sniper
$AVAX 4H timeframe price is firmly pressed below the Bollinger middle band, MACD histogram continues to expand, bearish momentum remains. 1H order book depth shows buy orders piled around 9.01, but every rebound is quickly pushed back by sell walls at 9.03-9.04, indicating very weak bullish reversal willingness.
🎯Direction: Short
⚡Entry: Short directly at current price 9.03, or add to short on rebound near 9.20.
🛑Stop loss: 9.29
🚀Target 1: 9.03
🚀Target 2: 8.94
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, cut half of the positio

【$POL Signal】Rebound failed, bears continue to exert pressure
$POL 1H level rebound is weak, price is firmly suppressed by EMA20. The 4H level has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, MACD shows a death cross with both lines flat below the zero axis, indicating bearish momentum has not yet exhausted. The order book shows sell orders stacking around 0.0828, with significantly insufficient buy depth, and active selling continues.
Price directly shorts around 0.08276, with support placed above 0.08905. The first target is 0.08693, the second target is 0.08622.
The negative funding rate on

⚠️【INX About to Change Direction? The Key Is This】⚠️
Recently, INX’s price action isn’t weak, but it hasn’t truly turned strong either👇
The price has risen slightly by about 0.47%
The high is close to prior resistance, but it still hasn’t broken through
👉 Note: There are sellers up above, and the pressure is still there
What matters more are external factors👇
Sentiment around Iran-related negotiations keeps fluctuating,
Once it affects commodities like crude oil,
👉 it will indirectly drive volatility across the entire crypto market, including INX
The situation right now is simple:
👉 Senti

Whales also sell the top: missed a 226% surge, only because they exited early
Latest on-chain data:
👉 A certain whale previously bought over-the-counter:
163,405 ETH (about $440 million)
4,000 cbBTC (about $296 million)
But the key point is here:
👉 Three weeks ago, they sold 899,999 RAVE at cost price (about $229k)
And today:
👉 RAVE surged 226%
👉 If not sold, unrealized gains could reach approximately $870k
What does this indicate?
Even large funds find it difficult to hold onto every market move.
The focus has never been about missing out,
but—
how you judge wh

Midnight release of the opening forecast: the geopolitical easing expectations come to nothing, and market sentiment is favorable with a bullish edge 🈳—gold must inevitably weaken!
🔔Open a short at the start. If it breaks 4700, keep looking lower; the minimum is 4644, with nearly 110 points of room~#Gate上线Pre-IPOs #Gate现货衍生品双双冲进全球前三 #原油小幅上涨 #XAU