U.S. Signals Limited Flexibility on Iran Nuclear, Strait Issues; Peace Deal Odds at 11% by May 31

According to BlockBeats, citing Arab media reports, Pakistan's Interior Minister is in Tehran for fresh negotiations on May 20, as the U.S. maintains firm positions on Iran's nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz security. The U.S. has shown only limited flexibility on lifting sanctions while refusing to soften its stance on these two core issues, and Iran remains skeptical of American assurances aimed at preventing renewed conflict.

On Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement stands at 11% by May 31 and 33% by June 30, according to PolyBeats monitoring.