Polymarket: The probability that the US Department of Homeland Security will end the shutdown by March 31 drops to 54%

Gate News reports that on March 25, the U.S. Senate voted to approve Senator Marlin’s appointment as Secretary of Homeland Security. The probability of the event “U.S. Department of Homeland Security closing by March 31” on Polymarket has dropped to 54%, down 26% in the past hour, with nearly $1 million in trading volume. Additionally, the probability of “U.S. Department of Homeland Security ending the shutdown before the end of March” has temporarily surged, currently at 24%, up 13% in the past hour; the probability of “U.S. Department of Homeland Security closing from March 24 to 27” is at 13%, up 3% in the past hour.

At last week’s nomination hearing, Marlin expressed support for the Trump administration’s immigration policies and urged Democrats to quickly vote to pass the Department of Homeland Security budget to restart the department. Marlin stated, “As Secretary of Homeland Security, I will protect everyone. My goal over the past six months has been to prevent the Department of Homeland Security from making headlines every day.” Since last year, the Department of Homeland Security has repeatedly made headlines over issues such as cracking down on illegal immigration. Democrats are demanding reforms to the Department of Homeland Security and federal law enforcement actions, or they will threaten not to support the budget. The Department of Homeland Security has been shut down since February 14 due to funding exhaustion.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Whale Account Buys $260,000 Spurs -9.5 Spread on Polymarket Ahead of NBA Playoff Game Today

According to Odaily Seer, a 54% win-rate account (0xa2cced8bfae7d645f7f437fb76becf2fcbb70cbc) purchased $260,000 in Spurs -9.5 spread bets on Polymarket today (May 7) ahead of the NBA Western Conference semifinals Game 2 against the Timberwolves, which begins at 9:30 a.m. Beijing time. The account o

GateNews36m ago

Profitable Polymarket Account Buys $60K Position on 76ers in NBA Playoff Game 2

According to Odaily Seer, an account with over $2.2 million in lifetime gains purchased $60,000 worth of positions betting on the 76ers to defeat the Knicks in Game 2 of the NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals on Polymarket, with an average entry price of 20 cents. The position is currently

GateNews36m ago

Account With 41% Win Rate Purchases $103K Bayern Munich Victory Contracts on Polymarket Ahead of May 7 Champions League Semifinal

According to Odaily Seer, an account with a 41% historical win rate purchased $103,000 in Bayern Munich victory contracts on Polymarket on May 6 at an average entry price of 60.8 cents. The Champions League semifinal second leg between Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain is scheduled for May 7 at

GateNews9h ago

Polymarket's U.S. Market Return Underperforms, CEO Justin Hertzberg Seen as Nominal Role

According to The Information, Polymarket's U.S. business expansion has underperformed since its re-entry through acquiring a regulated derivatives exchange, with market share trailing competitor Kalshi. CEO Justin Hertzberg's responsibilities are primarily limited to regulatory document signing, wi

GateNews11h ago

Blockchain.com Launches SnapMarkets Amid Prediction Market Surge

Blockchain.com has launched SnapMarkets, a platform for prediction market trading. The launch occurs as prediction markets surge, according to the source material. Regulatory Environment The expansion of prediction markets is taking place amid regulatory tensions. Prediction markets face

CryptoFrontier12h ago

Prophet Launches AI-Powered Prediction Market with $10,000 Live Trading Tranche Today

According to MetaversePost, Prophet launched an AI-powered prediction market today (May 6) with $10,000 in USDC allocated to live trading. Users can trade directly against an AI counterparty that generates probability-based pricing for each market, with some contracts settling within 24

GateNews14h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments