Polymarket and Kalshi Combined World Cup Markets Cross $2 Billion as Spain Leads at 16.5%

KALSHI-1.21%
According to Polymarket and Kalshi, the combined volume on 2026 FIFA World Cup winner prediction markets exceeded $2 billion as of June 10, 2026. On Polymarket, Spain leads at 16.5% implied win probability, with France close behind at 16.1%. Kalshi shows similar consensus, with Spain at 17.4% and France at 16.1%. Mexico opened as the tournament's heaviest single-match favorite Thursday at 70%, with the Mexico vs. South Africa matchup drawing $1.86 million in bets.
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