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Ned Davis Research Reveals U.S. Stock Market May Rally in Q4 After Mid-Year Volatility, Recommends 70% Equity Allocation

2026-07-14 22:43:27

According to Ned Davis Research, the S&P 500 is expected to experience volatility through mid-August 2026 before rallying in October, according to the firm's multi-cycle model cited by strategist Ed Clissold in a recent client report covered by Business Insider. The index has already pulled back less than 1% from its June high but remains roughly 8% above its 200-day moving average, signaling intact uptrend support. NDR's asset allocation model recommends maintaining a 70% stock position as of end-June, near a four-year high, with 25% in bonds and 5% in cash. Clissold emphasized that despite mixed near-term signals, over 70% of market sub-industries remain in uptrends, suggesting any seasonal weakness should be viewed as part of an ongoing cyclical bull market.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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