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Meta Raises FY2026 Capex Guidance to $125–145B, Stock Falls Despite 33% Q1 Revenue Growth

GateNews
Stocks
META-2.03%
According to 24/7 Wall St via Yahoo Finance, Meta Platforms (META) trades at $582.90 as of July 8, 2026, down 11.5% year to date and 4.9% on July 2 alone after the company raised its full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $125–145 billion. The move highlights a valuation paradox: Q1 2026 revenue grew 33.1% to $56.31 billion with operating income up 30%, yet analysts' bear case targets $720.38 (24% above current price) and the bull case reaches $868.79 — both implying the market has priced the AI infrastructure spend as unrecoverable cost rather than future asset. At roughly 20 times normalized earnings while growing revenue 33%, Meta trades at bear-case multiples on bull-case fundamentals, a disconnect historically resolved when earnings beats force estimate upgrades into compressed valuations.
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