Kalshi Traders Predict Hormuz Strait Shipping Won't Normalize Until 2027 After Trump Ceasefire Announcement

KALSHI0.73%
According to traders on prediction market Kalshi, following U.S. President Trump's announcement ending the ceasefire with Iran, Hormuz Strait shipping flow is unlikely to return to normal before 2027. On rival platform Polymarket, traders hold a relatively more optimistic view, estimating a 59% probability that the critical sea route will resume normal operations by December 31.
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