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Goldman Sachs Warns Bond Market Stress Signals Tech Correction Risk, Credit Spreads Widen 22 Bps

2026-07-13 04:10:21

GS-0.05%

SPX500-0.24%

According to a Goldman Sachs report released Monday (July 13), senior derivatives trader Brian Garrett warned that bond markets are showing significant stress while equity markets remain complacent. Credit spreads on a mega-cap tech debt basket (GSUCHS30) widened 22 basis points last week, a sharp move that signals rising risk concerns, while the S&P 500 traded within a 30 basis point range and hovered just 0.5% from all-time highs. Garrett noted that implied correlation hit historic lows this week, with the VIX closing near 14, and markets are pricing in zero risk for the coming week. "The stock market will ignore all credit-related warnings until it suddenly wakes up," Garrett said, adding that he favors defensive positioning in the near term as two-way divergence between debt and equity markets accelerates.

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