David Hoffman: Bullish on the Ethereum ecosystem but not bullish on the ETH token

MarketWhisper
ETH-1.06%
SOL-0.66%

David Hoffman賣出ETH

Bankless co-founder David Hoffman explained on X on May 27 the reasons for selling his Ethereum (ETH) holdings. He confirmed that this sale was not driven by a bearish view on ETH. Rather, he said the multi-layer coordination conditions required for the “ETH is money” thesis have not been adequately met, but he remains “extremely bullish” on the Ethereum network and its ecosystem. The purpose of the sale is to reallocate capital to other market opportunities.

Hoffman 確認的立場:出售 ETH 不等於看空以太坊

Hoffman 在聲明中明確區分了兩個立場:對以太坊網路本身,他確認「非常看好,預計以太坊網路未來發展得非常出色」;對 ETH 作為資產的貨幣化估值,他確認「認為以太坊的成功只有一小部分會反映在 ETH 價格上」。他說明,「ETH 即貨幣」的實現要求技術、治理、L2 整合及 L1 費用主導地位等多個層面同時成功,他確認這些協調要求的容錯空間「比我原先預想的要小得多」。Hoffman 亦確認仍看好以太坊應用層——他引用「大應用理論」,指出以太坊應用程式將獲得全部手續費,以 Rollup 為中心的路線圖意味著 L2 服務將獲得 97% 的利潤。

Hoffman 論文中引用的三項確認市場數據

Hoffman 在說明中引用以下數據支持其判斷:

L1 費用與資產定價的歷史相關性:2021 年 ETH 在 L1 收入市佔率最高時期主導市場;2024 年 SOL 的 L1 收入市場份額出現結構性增長並確立市場地位;2026 年 NEAR 出現價格重估,伴隨 L1 收入和 NEAR 代幣消耗的基本性成長

以太坊穩定幣規模:以太坊上穩定幣總額從 2020 年的 30 億美元增長至 2026 年的 1,630 億美元,成長 54 倍

以太坊的架構定位:Hoffman 確認以太坊設計初衷是以接近成本價格向 L2 和應用層回饋價值,「以太坊是給予者而非索取者」,其架構原本就不優先考慮 ETH 作為資產的升值

常見問題

Who is David Hoffman, and why does his sale of ETH matter to public debate?

David Hoffman is a co-founder of Bankless, a media and education platform centered on the Ethereum ecosystem. In his statement, Hoffman confirmed that Ethereum is the foundation on which he “built my business, community, identity, and work.” As a result, his decision to sell has been viewed by the public as a symbolic shift in stance.

Hoffman 說「ETH 即貨幣論點已兌現」具體指什麼?

根據 Hoffman 的聲明,他確認 ETH 目前的市值已反映其應有的合理估值,並確認「以太坊市值已達到它應有的水準」。他的判斷是論點從結果層面看已被驗證,而非論點本身失效,因此他定性為「兌現」而非「失敗」。

After Hoffman confirmed the sale of ETH, where would the funds go?

In his statement, Hoffman confirmed that the sale was intended to “allocate capital to other opportunities in the market that I see,” but he did not specifically disclose in his public statement what target assets or directions the funds would be reallocated to.

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