Clarity Act Odds Drop to 39% on Polymarket, Down 26% from Recent Highs

According to Polymarket on July 19, prediction market traders have turned bearish on the Clarity Act becoming law by December 31, 2026, with "yes" odds falling to 39% from recent highs. The market has drawn nearly $1.94 million in volume. Meanwhile, Kalshi bettors are more confident about a near-term procedural step: contracts on a Senate recorded vote before August 8 trade at implied odds of 67.8%.
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