MarsBitNews

Bitcoin hovers around $73,500 over the weekend, and if it maintains this level, May could see approximately a 3% decline. Next week, U.S. employment data will influence risk assets, with ISM Manufacturing PMI, ADP employment, and non-farm payrolls drawing significant attention. Dragosch stated that if Bitcoin continues to follow the growth and risk appetite logic, it needs to reprice higher from the current level. Rekt Capital identified $73,000 as a key support level; closing the weekly above this level would help confirm a double bottom and promote an upward move.

According to CNN, Trump made modifications to the proposed Iran deal after meeting with advisors, and negotiations may be extended by another week. He insisted on including tougher language on Iran's nuclear commitments and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and expressed concern about potential economic relief for Iran. Trump also stated that the U.S. will take control of and destroy Iran's high-enriched uranium stockpile, and that the agreement does not involve a transfer of funds, but Iran emphasized that financial arrangements must be included. Currently, both sides are still bargaining over the wording, and the outcome remains uncertain.

According to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin breaks through $75k, the liquidation strength of mainstream CEX short positions will reach $453 million; if it falls below $72k, the liquidation strength of mainstream CEX long positions will reach $670 million. The liquidation chart does not precisely indicate the number of contracts to be liquidated, but rather shows the liquidation intensity and potential impact at each price level. The taller the column, the greater the liquidity shock when the price reaches that point.

Mars Finance News, according to Jintiao reports, European Central Bank Governing Council member Pereira stated that given the persistent consumer price pressures, the European Central Bank should not hesitate to take action. He pointed out in a media interview on Saturday evening, "I believe it is better to act early rather than late, to avoid a larger second-round effect later." This comment comes just before the European Central Bank's monetary policy meeting on June 10th to 11th, with markets and economists expecting officials to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at that time.

On May 31st, the US-Iran ceasefire negotiations were close but Iran denied the final text, and disagreements still exist. Trump demanded the abandonment of nuclear capabilities and the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. The US Secretary of Defense warned that failure in negotiations would lead to the resumption of military actions. If a ceasefire extension or phased agreement is reached next week, risk assets may benefit, and the direction of the oil market and safe-haven assets could change again. On the macro front, data such as May non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate will be released next week, and Federal Reserve officials will comment on inflation and interest rate paths. AI remains the core driver of global risk assets, with attention to earnings reports from CrowdStrike and others. After reaching new highs in May, US stocks may enter a consolidation phase in June.

Mars Financial News, on May 31, according to the Iranian Students' News Agency, member of Iran's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee Kossari stated that the nuclear issue has been excluded from the negotiation table and no final agreement has been reached yet. (Jinshi)

Mars Finance News, on May 31, Federal Reserve Board Member Waller stated during a special discussion at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference that the widespread adoption of stablecoins worldwide could amplify the impact of Federal Reserve policies. "For countries that adopt stablecoins, it's like a fixed exchange rate system. You input the cost of U.S. currency, so in countries that use stablecoins more, it effectively expands the reach of U.S. monetary policy." (Jin10)

Mars Finance News: Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, a Bitcoin Treasury company, has once again shared information related to the Bitcoin Tracker. According to the previous pattern, Strategy always discloses information about additional Bitcoin purchases on the second day after the related news is released.

The AI boom is not just an emotional surge but a mathematical problem of capital returns. Over the next five years, major cloud service providers are expected to invest about 20% per year, with revenue growing approximately 15% per year. Assuming no costs, the implied return rate remains negative outside Amazon, potentially leading to shareholder value destruction. If investments are scaled back, technology-driven GDP growth will be hindered, and a global bear market may reemerge. The IPOs of OpenAI and Anthropic might just be risk transfers, shifting uncertainty to retail investors and other investors.

Mars Finance News, on May 31, according to Iran Tasnim News Agency, discussions between Iran and the United States regarding a potential memorandum of understanding draft are still ongoing. Both sides are taking turns proposing amendments, and no agreement has been finalized yet. (Jinshi)

Mars Finance reports that Bitcoin has rebounded from the key support level of $71,400, with the cost basis for holders of 3–6 months becoming a short-term core support. If the rebound continues, the target could be up to $78,200. Glassnode data shows that since breaking above this cost basis in 2017, the 90-day and 180-day average gains are approximately 21.9% and 36.6%, respectively. Estimating at $74,000, the corresponding targets are about $90,200 and $101,100; however, the daily chart still shows a bearish flag pattern. If the support level is broken, the price may fall back to the $50,000–$60,000 range.

Mars Finance reports that AI Agent project AIVIVE has completed a new funding round of 8 million USD, with VegaVentures leading with 3 million USD and Greenwood Global Capital participating with 5 million USD. The funds will be used to launch the independently developed proprietary framework protocol AVVP, enhancing intelligent routing and coordination across data and execution environments, enabling real-time scheduling of multi-source data and seamless interaction with heterogeneous environments, thereby improving automation and decision-making efficiency in AtoA business.

JPMorgan CEO Dimon warns that if the CLARITY Act allows stablecoins to offer deposit-like interest returns with insufficient regulation, the related model could blow up, banks will refuse to accept it, and he will not participate. The bill aims to clarify U.S. cryptocurrency regulation and responsibilities. The Trump administration plans to push for its passage before July 4th, but the probability has dropped from nearly 70% to just over 50%.

On May 31, Hyperliquid ETF recorded net inflows of $29.6 million, reaching a new all-time high; BHYP saw net inflows of $20.1 million, and THYP recorded net inflows of $9.5 million. The ETF has had net inflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with total inflows of $136 million. Ongoing capital inflows are driving HYPE higher; over the past 30 days, it has risen by more than 70%, and it is currently trading at $68.3.

Mars Finance News, according to market sources, Argentine authorities have arrested 24 people in a nationwide crackdown on suspected investment fraud and seized over $50 million in cryptocurrency assets.

Mars Finance News, May 31, according to CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 51.8%, and the probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut is only 0.2%. The probability of a rate hike within the year has fallen to 48%, with a 37.9% chance of a total 25 basis point increase, a 9.2% chance of a 50 basis point increase, and a 0.9% chance of a 75 basis point increase.

Mars Finance News, on May 31, according to Defillama data, Polymarket’s revenue in the past 24 hours reached $999k, surpassing Pump.fun ($848k), ranking 5th among crypto protocols. The crypto protocol’s cumulative revenue has exceeded $60 million.