# 特朗普同意停火两周

I have been emphasizing that so-called ceasefire agreements are merely empty talk.
When there is a fundamental ideological opposition, such contradictions are inherently difficult to reconcile, and the so-called "signal of easing" is more of a temporary illusion.
And Trump's series of statements are essentially more about emotional management—stabilizing market expectations and avoiding sharp fluctuations or even a runaway decline in the U.S. stock market.
Back to the chart:
The current structure has already shown obvious divergence, and the daily level is gradually increasing the need

ETH briefly: the 2166-2140 range still has support, and in the short term, I remain bullish. The immediate target is 2275, and above that is 2310.
Why am I still bullish now? The logic is actually simple—since both sides have shown willingness to negotiate, all the pressure they previously exerted on each other, frankly, has been quite damaging, and neither side feels good.
Since both sides are hurting, the most likely outcome is that they will sit down and talk eventually. But here’s the problem: before reaching an agreement, one side keeps ramping up pressure, trying to gain more leverage in

Yesterday’s Market Review: Previously, short positions were positioned at the 72,700 high. After the market pulled back, long positions were recovered around the 71,500 area. When the price surged to the 72,800 level and met resistance, it fell back, forming a double-pin resistance pattern; profits were taken promptly and the position was exited.
Afterward, after the market retested support at 70,900, it rebounded again in the early morning, pushing up to the 71,900 area. Then, around 71,660, a reverse short position was placed. As expected, the market initiated a range-bound downward trend.

Based on the current market trend, driven by news related to a ceasefire, the price has once again returned to the previous resistance zone for consolidation and has now completed a top-bottom reversal structure. Multiple tests throughout the day at the 70,800 level have not effectively broken below, indicating that this level provides relatively strong short-term support. Coupled with the current international situation, there is still room for the short-term price to attempt further upward movement. In terms of trading strategy, follow the trend and continue to maintain a low-position, phase

Short-term (1–2 weeks) it’s difficult to break through $75,000, with low probability; there may be an opportunity by the end of Q2, but the conditions are very strict.
1. Current Location and Resistance
• Current Price: $68,000–$69,000
• First Resistance: $70,000–$71,500 (heavy overhead)
• Second Strong Resistance: $72,500–$75,000 (key level)
• History: On March 17, it touched **$75,800**, but failed to hold
2. Why it’s hard to break through (short-term)
1. Insufficient volume
◦ Daily trading volume is only **$300–450 billion**, far below the **$700 billion+** level when a breakout happens
◦ A

Epic Good News Explosion! Iran Officially Announces: Oil Tanker Transit Fees Through the Strait of Hormuz Paid in Bitcoin🔥
The historic moment has arrived! Cryptocurrency has fully entered the mainstream and taken center stage on the global energy stage!
According to the Financial Times on April 8, Iran officially announced: During a two-week ceasefire, all oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz must pay transit fees in Bitcoin (cryptocurrency)!
The standard is set at $1 per barrel of oil, empty tankers are free, and payments are completed in just seconds, perfectly avoiding sanct

4.9 Morning Gold Analysis
Yesterday, it surged to 4856 and then sharply retreated. This morning, it is fluctuating around 4715.
The bullish momentum is clearly weakening, selling pressure at high levels is increasing, and the short-term outlook is bearish.
With a ceasefire in the Middle East, risk aversion is cooling down. The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and a strengthening dollar have led to concentrated profit-taking at high levels. The rebound has ended, and the structure is turning bearish. This morning's strategy is mainly to go short at high levels.
Trading Suggestions
Short between

The Strait of Hormuz, as a global energy chokepoint, carries about 1/4 of the world’s shipping oil and 1/5 of liquefied natural gas daily. Its fluctuations will affect the cryptocurrency market trend directly through a transmission chain of oil prices—inflation—liquidity—risk appetite, making it a macro risk source that the crypto community must closely watch.
一、Core transmission path: from energy to crypto assets
1. Oil price rises in pulses: navigation through the strait is obstructed (e.g., the control status in March 2026), leading to a global crude oil daily supply gap of 10-16 millio

Assuming Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a bilateral ceasefire, and the long-standing disputes between the US and Iran are basically resolved, the Middle East peace process will see a major breakthrough.
This news directly ignited market sentiment, with safe-haven funds flooding into the crypto market. Bitcoin responded with a violent surge, breaking through the 72k mark strongly, and the bullish trend is now firmly established.
From the chart, Bitcoin experienced a slight consolidation after the surge, which is a normal pullback after a big rise and not a sign of trend weakening.