Revisiting the BTC weekly chart in the afternoon, I found an interesting phenomenon:



Right now, the market isn’t waiting for a specific price level—it’s waiting for September and October.

The logic is highly consistent—since the four-year cycle hasn’t finished yet, the real bottom is still ahead.

But the thing traders fear most is “consensus expectations.”

When everyone is watching the same time window to bottom-fish, I’m actually reluctant to go all-in with full position size on that.

Recently, I saw someone close long-held short positions and start buying in batches around the 64K area; others also believe that the time-based clearing may be nearing its end.

I won’t blindly go all-in just because they’ve flipped to longs. The weekly chart hasn’t even closed above the key green line yet—at most, it can be called “approaching the bottom range,” and it absolutely can’t be said to be “bottom confirmation.”

My response is to break down the plan:

First, never put on a full position right now—keep enough “ammo” to handle a deeper pullback;

Second, if the weekly chart truly holds the key level, I also accept the possibility that the market will run ahead of schedule.

After all, the market has no obligation to cooperate with our planned entry months.
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CrossChainHauler
· 15h ago
This analysis is quite calm. Consensus expectations are indeed easy to stampede into, and keeping ammunition ready is more important than guessing the bottom.
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