📊 Wolf Analysis 2026.04.15 U.S. Market Analysis

Market Description

24h Price Change

BTC $74,332 (-0.05%) 🟡 Basically flat

ETH $2,335.51 (-1.59%) 🔴

SOL $83.76 (-2.46%) 🔴

BNB $618.24 (+0.47%) 🟢

BNB is the only one rising, BTC stabilizes above $74,000 with decreasing volume, but ETH/SOL weaken, overall still in a high-level oscillation pattern.

1h Trend: BTC from $74,012 → $73,865 → $74,201, consolidating with volume of 528 BTC; ETH $2,320 → $2,317 → $2,337, relatively weak; SOL $83.16 → $83.61 → $83.76, volume shrinking sideways; BNB $615.56 → $617.02 → $619.71, clear support. BTC finds support near $74,000 but lacks upward momentum.

15m Trend: BTC at $74,049 → $74,201 → $74,177 → $74,333 → $74,332, compressed in the range of $74,000-$74,466, latest volume only 40 BTC; ETH $2,329 → $2,337 → $2,334 → $2,331 → $2,335; SOL $83.41 → $83.50 → $83.48 → $83.79 → $83.75, extremely narrow sideways; BNB $618.72 → $618.45 → $618.45 → $618.92 → $618.24. Pre-market trading volume continues to shrink, volatility drops to low levels.

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Market Drivers

① Trump Threatens to Dismiss Powell, DOJ Continues Investigation of Federal Reserve Chair

Forbes/Barrons: Trump stated that if Powell does not voluntarily resign after his term ends, he will dismiss him. DOJ’s investigation into Powell is ongoing, despite a previous court ruling that the investigation has political motives. Once the news broke, market concerns over the Fed’s independence surged.

② Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov: Iran’s Uranium Enrichment is an "Inalienable Right"

Fox News: Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said Iran has the right to uranium enrichment, openly defying Trump’s demands. The US-Iran negotiation path faces new uncertainties, and the pace of geopolitical risk premium decline slows.

③ Iran: No New Negotiation Schedule Yet

NYT: Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson said that no schedule for new negotiations with the US has been set. Trump previously said negotiations might happen in the "coming days," but Iran has not given a clear response. Negotiation expectations cool down.

④ US Treasury Secretary Bessent to Deliver Tax Day Speech Today, Continued Promotion of Tax Relief Effects

White House: Treasury Secretary Bessent and SBA_Kelly held a press conference today, stating that 50 million Americans have benefited from Trump’s tax cuts, with a 15% increase in refunds this year. The White House emphasizes continued positive economic policy effects, but without exceeding expectations.

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⚠️ Risk Reminder

• Trump’s threat to dismiss Powell is the biggest risk event today, with expectations of increased damage to Fed independence, and rising US dollar credit risk premium

• Dispute over Iran’s uranium enrichment rights persists, US-Iran negotiations’ schedule unclear, geopolitical risks may reprice at any time

• BTC $73,400 is a key support, $73,000 is the second intra-day support, a break below targets $72,000

• ETH $2,300 is the last line of defense for bulls, SOL $82.65 is today’s low support

• 15m volume hits recent lows, breakout may occur during US session, watch for increased volatility risk

• Prioritize position management, reduce unhedged exposure during news-driven periods #高盛申请比特币收益型ETF #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡 #Gate13周年 #今日你看涨还是看跌？