U.S. May CPI Expected to Exceed 4% Year-over-Year, Highest in Three Years: Comerica Economist

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According to Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, U.S. May CPI is expected to exceed 4% year-over-year, marking the highest level in three years, driven primarily by gasoline price increases in May. Core CPI is projected to rise approximately 3% year-over-year. Adams also anticipates Producer Price Index (PPI) will record another significant increase in May, with gains outpacing CPI, reflecting elevated weights of oil products, metals, and transportation costs in the producer price basket. Additionally, the University of Michigan's initial June consumer sentiment index is expected to recover from May's historic low, supported by recent declines in gasoline prices and stock market gains over the past two weeks.
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