Bitcoin is locked in a tense standoff under $72,000, and a lineup of analysts, including Benjamin Cowen and stock-to-flow creator PlanB, are warning that the next big move points down toward $60,000.
- Key Takeaways:
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- Bitcoin closed May at $73,568, and PlanB says data shows a greater than 50% chance of prices heading lower. As of June 1, BTC dropped below the $72,000 range to $71,461.
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- Benjamin Cowen expects BTC to tag $70,000, bounce for days, then retest February’s roughly $60,000 low.
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- Crypto Rover flagged a “textbook bearish flag,” echoing the February flush from $90,000 to $60,000.
A Market Caught at $73,000
Bitcoin closed May at $73,568 and has hovered just above that line into June as traders are divided as to what comes next for the asset. The level matters because it sits at the lower edge of the range that has contained the price for weeks, and because a decisive break could accelerate selling toward levels not seen since the winter.
The most detailed bearish roadmap came from data analyst and Founder & CEO of ITC Benjamin Cowen, who believes trying to figure out BTC’s short-term price action at the moment is “akin to a random walk,” adding:
“If I had to guess, I would guess that BTC tags $70k soon, then gets a small bounce. But after the bounce is over (likely a few days to a week or so), I do think BTC will head back to the lows from February 2026. If I’m wrong about BTC revisiting the lows from February, I will quote tweet this and simply say “I was wrong.” And then I will let every bull dunk away.”
The call seems to be fairly consistent with his recent stance, where he characterized BTC’s last recovery (to hold $75,000) as a “dead cat bounce” rather than the start of a new leg higher, citing reasons such as restrictive liquidity, elevated real yields, and the Federal Reserve being in no hurry to cut interest rates.
Even PlanB Sees Better-Than-Even Odds of Lower Prices
The more surprising voice in the cautious camp has been PlanB, the pseudonymous creator of the stock-to-flow model that maps bitcoin’s price to its scarcity and has long underpinned six-figure forecasts. After noting bitcoin’s close at $73,568 for May, PlanB wrote that the “market is 50/50 on if February $60k was the bottom, or the bear will continue.”
The amount of time since its inception that BTC has remained in the green, per PlanB
The notably guarded message is being interpreted as worrisome since the analyst’s long-run model previously sketched a path toward roughly $500,000 late last year, implying near-term mood has soured even among structural bulls.
Rounding out the trio, Crypto Rover warned that bitcoin “just printed a textbook bearish flag on the daily,” describing the pattern as “one of the most reliable continuation signals in technical analysis.” The widely followed account drew a direct parallel to recent history, noting that the last time BTC printed the same structure was “the February flush from $90K to $60K.”
As Bitcoin.com News documented in a 2026 prediction roundup, estimates still range from Michael Saylor’s $1 million long-term call to veteran trader Peter Brandt’s warning of a $60,000 low, but the near-term consensus among these closely watched voices has tilted decisively bearish.
ETF Outflows and a Hawkish Fed Set the Tone
The cautious tilt is rooted in major financial bleeding as spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) closed May with the largest monthly net outflow of 2026, the steepest since November 2025. Moreover, funds also lost $1.26 billion in a single week, even as XRP and HYPE products drew fresh money (Blackrock and Ark alone drove a $1 billion selloff as demand rotated elsewhere).
Onchain data has deepened the unease, with whales and long-term holders showing signs of distribution rather than accumulation. Combined with a Fed that has shown no urgency to ease, the result is a market short on the fresh demand it would need to break decisively higher.
Whether bitcoin can defend the all-important $73,000 threshold will mean that bulls can argue their range is still intact, but if sustained dips continue, BTC could retest its $60,000 February low.
