Polymarket Confirms POLY Token Launch; Prediction Markets Show 66.7% Accuracy in Mid-2026

According to Polymarket CMO Matthew Modabber, the prediction platform will launch a native POLY token with an accompanying airdrop, prioritizing the U.S. app relaunch before token distribution. Polymarket hosts 224 active token-related prediction markets as of mid-2026, with combined trading volume exceeding $17.5 million.

A January 2026 study by Legion and published by PANews analyzed 231 prediction markets across 29 token sale events, finding accuracy dropped to 66.7% in the final week before market close. The research also found that 75% of newly launched tokens experienced sell-offs within their first 24 hours of exchange trading, with average price swings of ±23%.